Cider, Perry & Rice Wine - Tajikistan

The Cider, Perry & Rice Wine market in Tajikistan has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences in Tajikistan have been shifting towards alternative alcoholic beverages such as cider, perry, and rice wine. This can be attributed to a growing interest in exploring new flavors and experiences among consumers. Additionally, these beverages are often perceived as being lighter and more refreshing compared to traditional alcoholic drinks, making them particularly appealing to younger consumers. Trends in the market indicate a rise in the availability and variety of cider, perry, and rice wine products in Tajikistan. This can be attributed to increased imports from countries with well-established cider and wine industries, as well as the emergence of local producers catering to the growing demand. The market is also witnessing a trend towards premiumization, with a focus on higher quality and more sophisticated products. This is driven by a desire among consumers for unique and premium experiences, as well as an increasing disposable income among the population. Local special circumstances in Tajikistan contribute to the development of the Cider, Perry & Rice Wine market. The country's agricultural landscape is conducive to the cultivation of fruits such as apples and pears, which are key ingredients in cider and perry production. This has led to the establishment of local orchards and vineyards, supporting the growth of the industry. Additionally, Tajikistan's cultural diversity and openness to international influences have created a favorable environment for the introduction and acceptance of new alcoholic beverages. Underlying macroeconomic factors also play a role in the development of the market. Tajikistan has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, resulting in an increase in disposable income and consumer spending. This has contributed to the growing demand for premium and specialty products, including cider, perry, and rice wine. Furthermore, the country's tourism industry has been expanding, attracting both domestic and international visitors who are seeking unique and authentic experiences. This has created opportunities for the growth of the Cider, Perry & Rice Wine market, as these beverages are often associated with cultural heritage and local traditions. In conclusion, the Cider, Perry & Rice Wine market in Tajikistan is developing due to changing customer preferences, the availability of a wide range of products, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As consumers in Tajikistan continue to seek new and unique experiences, the market is expected to further expand in the coming years.

Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. The at-home market covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, or similar sales channels. The out-of-home data encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments. Combined numbers encompass both the at-home market and the out-of-home market. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes.

Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on alcoholic beverages, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.