Cinema - Estonia

  • Estonia
  • In Estonia, revenue in the Cinema market is projected to reach US$19.06m in 2024.
  • Revenue in this market is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.58%, leading to a projected market volume of US$22.73m by 2029.
  • The number of viewers in the Cinema market in Estonia is expected to amount to 310.3k users by 2029.
  • User penetration in this market will be 21.5% in 2024 and is anticipated to increase to 24.0% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per viewer in Estonia is expected to amount to US$67.22.
  • In a global context, it is noteworthy that most revenue will be generated the United States, with a figure of US$20,980.00m in 2024.
  • Estonia's cinema market is witnessing a resurgence as local filmmakers increasingly explore unique narratives that resonate with national identity and cultural heritage.

Key regions: Europe, France, Asia, United Kingdom, Germany

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Cinema market in Estonia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences:
Estonian customers have shown a growing interest in cinema, with an increasing number of people choosing to watch movies on the big screen. This can be attributed to the immersive experience that cinemas offer, allowing viewers to fully immerse themselves in the story and visuals. Additionally, the availability of a wide range of movies, from local productions to international blockbusters, caters to the diverse preferences of Estonian audiences.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Estonian cinema market is the rise of digital cinema. With the advancement of technology, cinemas have been able to enhance the movie-watching experience by offering high-quality digital projections and immersive sound systems. This has attracted more customers to cinemas, as they can enjoy a superior audio-visual experience that cannot be replicated at home. Furthermore, the introduction of 3D and IMAX screenings has added another dimension to the cinema experience, making it even more appealing to audiences. Another trend in the market is the growing popularity of event cinema. Cinemas in Estonia are increasingly hosting live broadcasts of opera performances, theater plays, and sporting events. This allows viewers to enjoy these events in the comfort of a cinema, with the added benefit of a larger screen and better sound quality. Event cinema has become a niche market within the overall cinema industry, attracting a dedicated audience who are willing to pay a premium for these unique experiences.

Local special circumstances:
Estonia has a vibrant film industry, with a number of local productions gaining international recognition. This has created a sense of pride among Estonian audiences, who are eager to support and watch homegrown films. The success of local films has also led to increased investments in cinema infrastructure, with new cinemas being built and existing ones being renovated to meet the growing demand.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The overall economic growth in Estonia has had a positive impact on the cinema market. As disposable incomes have increased, more people have the financial means to enjoy leisure activities such as going to the cinema. Furthermore, the tourism industry in Estonia has been booming, attracting a growing number of international visitors. This has contributed to the demand for cinema tickets, as tourists often seek out local cultural experiences, including watching movies in foreign languages. In conclusion, the Cinema market in Estonia is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, including a preference for the immersive cinema experience and a growing interest in event cinema. The local special circumstances, such as the success of the Estonian film industry, have also contributed to the market's development. Additionally, the underlying macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth and increased tourism, have created a favorable environment for the cinema market in Estonia.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the Cinema market, which comprises revenues from box office, advertsing and concessions. The market includes both consumer and advertising spending. All monetary figures refer to consumer spending on tickets and concessions. This spending factors in discounts, margins, and taxes.

Modeling approach / market size:

The market size is determined through a bottom-up approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as various macroeconomic indicators, historical developments, current trends, and reported performance indicators of key market players. In particular, we consider average prices and annual purchase frequencies.

Forecasts:

We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, and 4G coverage.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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