Train Tickets - Southeast Asia | Statista Market Forecast

By 2024, it is expected that the revenue in Southeast Asia's Train Tickets market will reach US$1.04bn.
The market is anticipated to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.40%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$1.17bn by 2029.
The Train Tickets market is expected to have 49.10m users users by 2029, with a user penetration of 6.1% in 2024 and 6.8% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$24.51.
It is projected that 61% of the total revenue in the Train Tickets market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
In Southeast Asia, most of the revenue in the Train Tickets market will be generated in China, with a projected revenue of US$72bn in 2024, surpassing other countries in global comparison.
Indonesia's railway sector is undergoing a modernization drive, with increased investment in infrastructure and rolling stock.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in Southeast Asia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this development. Customer preferences in the Trains market in Southeast Asia have played a crucial role in driving its growth. With the increasing urbanization and population density in the region, there has been a growing demand for efficient and reliable transportation systems. Trains offer a convenient and time-saving mode of transportation, especially in congested cities where traffic congestion is a major issue. Additionally, customers in Southeast Asia have shown a preference for sustainable and eco-friendly transportation options, and trains align well with these preferences. Trends in the Trains market in Southeast Asia have also contributed to its growth. Governments in the region have been investing heavily in the development of railway infrastructure to meet the increasing demand for transportation. This includes the construction of new railway lines, the expansion of existing networks, and the introduction of high-speed trains. These investments have not only improved connectivity within and between cities but have also stimulated economic growth by facilitating the movement of goods and people. Local special circumstances have further fueled the growth of the Trains market in Southeast Asia. The region is home to several megacities, such as Jakarta, Bangkok, and Manila, which face significant challenges in terms of traffic congestion and air pollution. Trains provide a viable solution to these challenges by offering a more efficient and environmentally friendly mode of transportation. Additionally, the diverse geography of Southeast Asia, with its islands and mountainous terrain, makes trains an ideal choice for connecting different regions and overcoming geographical barriers. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the development of the Trains market in Southeast Asia. The region has experienced rapid economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income and a rise in the middle class. This has resulted in a higher demand for transportation services, including train travel. Furthermore, governments in Southeast Asia have recognized the importance of investing in infrastructure as a means to drive economic development, and the Trains market has been a key focus of these investments. In conclusion, the Trains market in Southeast Asia is developing at a rapid pace due to customer preferences for efficient and sustainable transportation, trends in the market such as government investments in railway infrastructure, local special circumstances such as urbanization and geography, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and government priorities. This growth is expected to continue in the coming years as the region strives to improve connectivity and address the challenges of urbanization and congestion.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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