Public Transportation - Italy | Statista Market Forecast

Italy's Public Transportation market is expected to witness a significant growth in revenue in the coming years.
It is projected to reach US$9.51bn by 2024, with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.82%.
This will result in a projected market volume of US$10.41bn by 2029.
In terms of users, the market is expected to witness an increase in the number of users and user penetration as well.
The number of users is expected to amount to 37.43m users by 2029, with a projected user penetration of 64.8% by 2029 and 62.8% in 2024.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to remain stable at US$258.10.
Furthermore, it is projected that by 2029, around 30% of total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales.
In comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, reaching US$52bn in 2024.
Italy's public transportation system offers extensive coverage and options such as metro, buses, and trains, making it a convenient and eco-friendly way to travel.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Italy has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transport, leading to increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the development of the market.

Customer preferences: In Italy, customers are increasingly prioritizing sustainability and convenience when it comes to transportation. With growing concerns about the environment and the need to reduce carbon emissions, many individuals are opting for public transportation as a greener alternative to private vehicles. Public transportation also offers the advantage of reducing traffic congestion and providing a more efficient way to travel, particularly in urban areas.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Italy is the expansion and modernization of existing infrastructure. The government has been investing in upgrading public transportation systems, including railways, buses, and tram networks. This has led to improved connectivity and increased accessibility for passengers, attracting more individuals to use public transportation. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology into public transportation services. Mobile ticketing, real-time updates on schedules and delays, and the availability of Wi-Fi on public transport vehicles have enhanced the overall customer experience. These technological advancements have made public transportation more convenient and user-friendly, further driving its popularity among commuters.

Local special circumstances: Italy's urban areas, such as Rome, Milan, and Naples, have dense populations and high levels of traffic congestion. This has created a strong demand for efficient and reliable public transportation options. The availability of extensive public transportation networks in these cities has been crucial in meeting the transportation needs of the local population. Furthermore, Italy is known for its rich cultural heritage and tourist attractions. Many tourists visit the country each year, and public transportation plays a vital role in facilitating their travel within and between cities. The convenience and affordability of public transportation make it an attractive option for both locals and tourists.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Italy's economy has been gradually recovering from the financial crisis, and this has had a positive impact on the Public Transportation market. As disposable incomes increase, more individuals are able to afford public transportation fares, leading to higher ridership numbers. Additionally, the government's investments in infrastructure development have created job opportunities and stimulated economic growth. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Italy is developing due to changing customer preferences, including a focus on sustainability and convenience. The expansion and modernization of infrastructure, integration of technology, and the unique local circumstances in Italy have also contributed to the growth of the market. Furthermore, underlying macroeconomic factors, such as the recovering economy and government investments, have played a significant role in driving the development of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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