Residential Real Estate - Mexico

  • Mexico
  • The Residential Real Estate market market in Mexico is projected to reach a value of US$4.18tn in 2024.
  • It is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.57%, leading to a market volume of US$5.48tn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China is anticipated to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with US$112.9tn in 2024.
  • The residential real estate market in Mexico is experiencing a surge in demand due to the country's growing tourism industry and attractive investment opportunities.

Key regions: Europe, Brazil, France, Asia, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate market in Mexico has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Mexican customers have traditionally preferred to own their own homes rather than rent, and this preference continues to drive demand in the residential real estate market. The desire for homeownership is deeply ingrained in Mexican culture, as it is seen as a symbol of stability and success. Additionally, many Mexicans view real estate as a safe and reliable investment option.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Mexican residential real estate market is the increasing demand for affordable housing. With a growing population and a rising middle class, there is a need for more affordable housing options. Developers are responding to this demand by building more entry-level homes and offering flexible financing options to attract buyers. Another trend in the market is the rise of mixed-use developments. These developments combine residential units with commercial spaces, such as retail shops, restaurants, and entertainment venues. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and a sense of community. Mixed-use developments offer residents the opportunity to live, work, and play in the same area, reducing the need for long commutes and providing access to amenities and services.

Local special circumstances:
One of the unique aspects of the Mexican residential real estate market is the prevalence of informal housing. Informal housing refers to homes that are built without proper permits or legal documentation. This is particularly common in low-income areas, where residents may not have access to formal housing options. Informal housing poses challenges for the market, as it can lead to issues with property rights and infrastructure.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Several macroeconomic factors are contributing to the development of the residential real estate market in Mexico. One of the key factors is the country's strong economic growth. Mexico has experienced steady economic expansion in recent years, which has increased consumer confidence and purchasing power. This, in turn, has fueled demand for residential properties. Another factor is the low interest rate environment. The Central Bank of Mexico has maintained historically low interest rates to stimulate economic growth and investment. Low interest rates make it more affordable for individuals and families to finance the purchase of a home, driving demand in the residential real estate market. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate market in Mexico is developing due to customer preferences for homeownership, the increasing demand for affordable housing, the rise of mixed-use developments, the prevalence of informal housing, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as strong economic growth and low interest rates.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average value of residential real estate, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Value
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Transaction Value
  • Revenue
  • Household Type
  • Real Estate Type
  • Community Size Split
  • Living Space
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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