Private Equity - Mexico

  • Mexico
  • In Mexico, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$0.74bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 6.76%, resulting in a projected total amount of US$0.79bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Mexico amounts to US$61.67m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective, it is noted that the highest deal value is reached in the United States, where it is US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • In the Private Equity market in Mexico, the number of deals is anticipated to amount to 15.38 by 2025.
  • In Mexico, the Private Equity market is increasingly focusing on technology startups, reflecting a broader trend of digital transformation across various sectors.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity Market in Mexico is witnessing minimal decline, influenced by factors such as economic uncertainty, evolving regulatory environments, and increased competition. Despite these challenges, opportunities remain in sectors like technology and infrastructure.

Customer preferences:
In Mexico, there is a noticeable shift in consumer preferences toward sustainable and socially responsible investment opportunities, as millennials and Gen Z increasingly prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. This trend is prompting Private Equity firms to focus on companies that demonstrate strong sustainability practices and impact-driven initiatives. Additionally, the rise of urbanization and digital connectivity is fueling interest in tech-enabled solutions, particularly in e-commerce and fintech, as consumers seek convenience and accessibility in their purchasing behaviors.

Trends in the market:
In Mexico, the Private Equity market is increasingly gravitating towards sustainable and socially responsible investments, as millennials and Gen Z prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. This shift is leading firms to focus on companies with robust sustainability practices and impact-driven models, which are seen as more resilient in the long term. Furthermore, urbanization and enhanced digital connectivity are driving investments in tech-enabled sectors, notably e-commerce and fintech, catering to consumer demands for efficiency and accessibility. These trends could reshape investment strategies and influence stakeholder engagement across the industry.

Local special circumstances:
In Mexico, the Private Equity market is shaped by a unique blend of cultural values, regulatory frameworks, and economic conditions. The country's emphasis on community-oriented business practices resonates with local investors, driving interest in sustainable ventures that align with traditional values. Additionally, Mexico's regulatory environment is evolving, with initiatives promoting transparency and accountability, which enhance investor confidence. The diverse geography fosters regional investments, particularly in sectors like renewable energy and agriculture, creating varied opportunities that appeal to a broad range of investors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Mexico is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rates. Low-interest rates foster an environment conducive to borrowing, allowing private equity firms to finance acquisitions and expand their portfolios more affordably. Conversely, rising rates can constrain access to capital, dampening investment activity. Additionally, the stability of the Mexican peso against major currencies affects investor confidence and foreign investment. Global economic trends, such as trade agreements and foreign direct investment flows, further shape the landscape, creating a dynamic interplay that impacts market performance and opportunity in Mexico’s private equity sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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