Real Estate - Africa | Statista Market Forecast

The Real Estate market market in Africa is expected to reach a value of US$16.60tn by 2024.
Within this market, the Residential Real Estate segment dominates with a projected market volume of US$13.97tn in 2024.
It is anticipated that the market will experience an annual growth rate of 5.71% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a market volume of US$21.92tn by 2029.
When comparing the Real Estate market market globally, United States is expected to generate the highest value, with US$132.0tn in 2024.
The real estate market in Kenya is experiencing a surge in demand for affordable housing due to rapid urbanization.

Definition:

The real estate market refers to the transaction of properties, including residential properties (such as houses and apartments) and commercial properties, such as office buildings and industrial properties. Apart from property sales, this market includes leases and the value of real estate.

Structure:

The real estate market comprises residential and commercial real estate. The residential real estate market covers real estate transactions and leases, and residential real estate leases are divided into apartment and house leases.

Additional information:

The market contains the following KPIs: real estate value aggregated for all countries and regions, average real estate value, real estate transaction revenue, number of real estate sold, number of leased and owned real estate, average room per resident, and dwelling type shares. The dwelling type shares comprise the share of the population that lives in houses and apartments. These shares are displayed for real estate owners and real estate renters as well.

Residential real estate (houses and apartments)
Commercial real estate (office buildings, retail spaces, warehouses, industrial properties)

Real estate agencies
Construction companies
Accommodation services, such as Airbnb
Commercial real estate leases and transactions
Publicly owned buildings used by the local government
Buildings used for public health care services

The Real Estate market in Africa is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this positive trajectory. Customer preferences in the African Real Estate market have shifted towards urbanization and modernization. As the continent's population continues to grow rapidly, there is a rising demand for housing and commercial spaces in urban areas. Customers are increasingly looking for properties that offer modern amenities and conveniences, such as high-speed internet, security systems, and proximity to transportation hubs. Additionally, there is a growing interest in sustainable and eco-friendly buildings, as customers are becoming more conscious of environmental issues. Trends in the African Real Estate market reflect the continent's economic growth and increasing foreign investments. Many African countries have experienced stable economic growth in recent years, attracting both local and international investors. This has led to a surge in construction projects, including residential, commercial, and infrastructure developments. The market is also witnessing a rise in mixed-use developments, where residential, commercial, and retail spaces are combined in a single property. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and accessibility, as customers are seeking properties that offer a variety of services and amenities in one location. Local special circumstances in Africa, such as rapid urbanization and a young population, have contributed to the growth of the Real Estate market. Urbanization is occurring at a faster pace in Africa compared to other regions, resulting in a higher demand for housing and commercial spaces in cities. Additionally, Africa has one of the youngest populations in the world, with a large proportion of the population being of working age. This demographic dividend has created a strong demand for affordable housing and office spaces, as young professionals seek opportunities in urban areas. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also played a crucial role in the development of the African Real Estate market. Economic growth, urbanization, and foreign investments have all contributed to the increased demand for properties. Additionally, government policies and regulations have been favorable towards the Real Estate sector, promoting investment and development. Improved infrastructure, such as transportation networks and utilities, has also made previously inaccessible areas more attractive for Real Estate investments. In conclusion, the Real Estate market in Africa is experiencing significant growth and development due to customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The demand for modern and sustainable properties, along with the rise of mixed-use developments, reflects the changing preferences of customers. Rapid urbanization, a young population, and favorable government policies are driving the growth of the market. Overall, the Real Estate sector in Africa is poised for further expansion in the coming years.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of residential and commercial real estate, average real estate value, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data from international organizations and industry associations. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

The global housing market has slowed amid high inflation and soaring borrowing costs. Homeownership is one of the most universal signs of success and prosperity: It serves both as a source of stable and secure housing and a long-term investment. After the global financial crisis, property prices rose in many countries and especially in advanced economies. For more than a decade after that, the housing market has been on an upward trajectory, culminating in the housing boom during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, housing shortages in highly competitive markets, the recent rapid house price growth, soaring inflation, and consequently, some of the highest mortgage interest rates recorded in the past 10 years have led to the market cooling.

Japan is a country with very limited space for buildings, as mountains make up about three-quarters of its landmass. The country’s fairly large population is concentrated in major cities. The metropolitan area of Tokyo, home to a staggering one-third of the population, is the center of economic and political activity. As such, it boasts the highest property prices across the country. Driven by the weak yen, a tourism boom, and global investment, property and land prices surged in 2023 and 2024. Even some rural regions, which are generally confronted with economic stagnation and depopulation tendencies, have been affected by this trend.

The real estate market all around the world has been affected by the global pandemic. This historic event has changed the way we live, consume, and work. The real estate market in the Asia-Pacific region has experienced some turbulent and diverse changes depending on the sector, property type, and location. The commercial real estate segment, which includes offices, retail outlets, logistics centers, and many more, had to adapt to new conditions and demands. Furthermore, residential real estate suffered decreases in rental and capital values in some areas, with the exception of prime real estate, which experienced healthy growth in most locations.

Soaring inflation and aggressive mortgage interest rate hikes cooled the European housing market after a nearly decade-long period of growth. Since 2015, house prices in the European Union have grown by about 50 percent. When inflation in Europe started to rise at an alarming rate in 2021, the European Central Bank increased interest rates, resulting in substantially higher mortgage interest rates and a decline in homebuying. But how important is homeownership for Europeans?

Real Estate - Africa

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Value Split

Volume

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Transaction Value

Methodology

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