Private Equity - Africa

  • Africa
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market in Africa is projected to reach US$0.84bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated that this market will demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 7.14%, leading to a projected total of US$0.90bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal within Africa's Private Equity market is estimated at US$10.58m in 2024.
  • A global comparison indicates that the highest deal value is found in the United States, where it is expected to reach US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, the number of deals in Africa is projected to amount to 91.54 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Africa is witnessing minimal decline, influenced by factors like geopolitical stability, improved regulatory environments, and growing investor interest, despite challenges such as economic volatility and infrastructure deficits impacting growth prospects.

Customer preferences:
The Private Equity market in Africa is shifting toward sustainable and impact investing as investors recognize the growing importance of corporate social responsibility. There is a notable increase in interest for ventures that prioritize environmental sustainability and community development. Additionally, as urbanization accelerates and younger demographics rise, consumer demand for innovative tech solutions in sectors like e-commerce and fintech is growing, prompting private equity firms to align their portfolios with these evolving trends and aspirations for economic empowerment.

Trends in the market:
In Africa, the Private Equity market is experiencing a surge in interest towards sustainable and impact investments, with a growing number of firms prioritizing social and environmental governance frameworks. As urban populations expand and tech-savvy youth emerge, there’s a notable inclination towards funding innovative startups in sectors like e-commerce and fintech. This shift not only aligns with global sustainability goals but also meets the increasing demand for responsible investment. Such trends signal significant opportunities for industry stakeholders to drive economic growth while contributing positively to societal challenges.

Local special circumstances:
In Africa, the Private Equity market is notably shaped by diverse geographic and cultural landscapes, where unique local dynamics foster a vibrant investment ecosystem. Regions rich in natural resources attract capital focused on sustainable industries, while cultural nuances drive demand for localized products and services, particularly in agribusiness and renewable energy. Additionally, varied regulatory frameworks across countries influence investment strategies, compelling firms to tailor their approaches. This environment not only encourages innovation but also promotes investment in ventures addressing pressing social issues, thereby enhancing overall market resilience.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Africa is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rates. Low interest rates facilitate easier access to capital, encouraging private equity firms to pursue investments in high-potential sectors such as technology and renewable energy. Conversely, rising rates can constrain credit availability, impacting deal-making capacity and valuations. Additionally, inflation rates affect the cost of goods and services, necessitating adaptive strategies for portfolio companies. Global economic trends, such as commodity price fluctuations and investor sentiment, further shape capital flows into the market, while national economic health and fiscal policies establish a conducive environment for investment.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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