Motor Vehicle Insurance - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • The Motor Vehicle Insurance market market in Southern Africa is projected to reach a market size of US$5.35bn in 2024, based on the gross written premium.
  • On average, individuals in Southern Africa are estimated to spend US$76.35 per capita on Motor Vehicle Insurance market in 2024.
  • The market is expected to exhibit a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -2.23% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a market volume of US$4.78bn by 2029.
  • In comparison to other countries, the United States is anticipated to generate the highest gross written premium, amounting to US$341.6bn in 2024.
  • In Southern Africa, the Motor Vehicle Insurance market is experiencing a surge in demand due to the high rate of car theft and accidents.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Motor Vehicle Insurance market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth and evolution driven by various factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly seeking comprehensive motor vehicle insurance coverage to protect their vehicles against various risks such as accidents, theft, and natural disasters. There is a growing demand for customizable insurance plans that offer flexibility in coverage options and premiums. Additionally, customers are placing a higher emphasis on quality customer service and quick claims processing when choosing insurance providers.

Trends in the market:
In South Africa, the largest market in the region, there is a noticeable trend towards usage-based insurance policies that utilize telematics technology to track driver behavior. This trend is driven by the desire for more personalized insurance premiums based on individual driving habits. In countries like Zimbabwe and Zambia, there is a growing interest in microinsurance products that provide affordable coverage to low-income individuals who may not have access to traditional insurance offerings.

Local special circumstances:
Political and economic instability in countries like Zimbabwe and Angola have led to challenges in the motor vehicle insurance market, including fluctuating premiums and limited access to insurance products. In South Africa, the regulatory environment is becoming more stringent, requiring insurance companies to comply with stricter capital adequacy and solvency requirements. These local circumstances are influencing the competitive landscape and product offerings in the motor vehicle insurance market across Southern Africa.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Economic growth, urbanization, and an expanding middle class in countries like Botswana and Namibia are driving the demand for motor vehicles and subsequently motor vehicle insurance. As more individuals purchase cars, the need for insurance coverage increases, creating opportunities for insurance providers to expand their customer base. Additionally, advancements in technology and digitalization are reshaping the insurance industry in Southern Africa, leading to more efficient processes and innovative product offerings to meet the evolving needs of customers.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on gross written premium, gross written premium per capita, gross claim payments, loss ratio, and distribution channels.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market layer. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use industry associations, national statistic offices, and international organizations, such as OECD. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as insurance consumer spending, gross domestic product, insurance - consumer price index (CPI), population growth. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing and HOLT-linear. The main drivers are insurance consumer spending and insurance - consumer price index (CPI).

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Gross Written Premium
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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