Agricultural Product Derivatives - Tunisia

Tunisia

The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$22.55m in 2025.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2025-2029) of 3.30% resulting in a projected total amount of US$25.68m by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.00 in 2025.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,350.00bn in 2025).
In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 176.70k by 2029.

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Tunisia is experiencing a notable shift in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Tunisia are increasingly showing interest in agricultural product derivatives as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. This growing preference is driven by the potential for higher returns compared to traditional investment options.

Trends in the market: One key trend in the Tunisian Agricultural Product Derivatives market is the rising demand for derivatives linked to staple crops such as wheat and barley. This trend is influenced by the country's reliance on agriculture as a significant sector of the economy. Additionally, there is a noticeable increase in trading activity surrounding derivatives linked to olive oil, given Tunisia's status as one of the world's largest producers of this commodity.

Local special circumstances: Tunisia's unique position as a major exporter of agricultural products plays a crucial role in shaping the dynamics of the derivatives market. The country's vulnerability to climate change and its impact on crop yields often drive investors to turn to derivatives as a risk management tool. Furthermore, government policies aimed at boosting agricultural productivity can also impact the demand for agricultural product derivatives in the country.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The overall economic stability of Tunisia, coupled with efforts to attract foreign investment, has created a favorable environment for the development of the Agricultural Product Derivatives market. Additionally, the government's initiatives to modernize the agricultural sector and improve infrastructure further contribute to the market's growth. Moreover, Tunisia's strategic location as a gateway to both European and African markets enhances its position as a key player in the agricultural derivatives market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.