Private Equity - Tunisia

  • Tunisia
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.45m in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 10.56% resulting in a projected total amount of US$4.92m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$2.54m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 1.78 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Tunisia has shown minimal decline recently, influenced by factors such as economic instability, regulatory challenges, and cautious investor sentiment. However, ongoing reforms and local entrepreneurial growth are expected to foster future opportunities.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Tunisia’s Private Equity market are increasingly focusing on sectors that cater to the evolving needs of a younger, tech-savvy demographic. There is a noticeable shift toward digital solutions and services, reflecting a growing preference for convenience and innovation in daily life. Additionally, sustainability is gaining traction among consumers, prompting interest in environmentally responsible investments. As social consciousness rises, private equity firms are adapting their strategies to incorporate ethical considerations, aligning with the values of a changing consumer base.

Trends in the market:
In Tunisia, the Private Equity market is experiencing a surge in investments targeting technology-driven startups that provide innovative digital solutions. As younger consumers increasingly demand convenience, firms are pivoting towards e-commerce and fintech sectors to address these preferences. Furthermore, there is a discernible rise in interest towards sustainable businesses, indicating that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors are becoming integral to investment strategies. This evolving landscape suggests that private equity stakeholders must adapt to align with consumer values and capitalize on emerging sectors, driving both growth and social impact.

Local special circumstances:
In Tunisia, the Private Equity market is influenced by its unique cultural heritage and regulatory environment, fostering an entrepreneurial spirit among its youth. The country's strategic location as a gateway to Europe and Africa enhances trade opportunities for startups, particularly in e-commerce and fintech. Additionally, a growing emphasis on social equity and job creation shapes investment decisions, with stakeholders prioritizing ventures that contribute to local development. These dynamics create a distinct landscape, driving innovations that align with both market needs and community values.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Tunisia is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates, which directly influence investment costs and access to capital. Low interest rates encourage borrowing, facilitating increased investment in startups and innovative ventures, while high rates can deter financing and slow growth. Additionally, global economic trends, such as fluctuations in commodity prices and trade agreements, impact investor confidence and capital flows. The national economic health, marked by GDP growth rates and inflation levels, further affects market dynamics, as robust economic performance typically attracts more private equity investments, fostering a vibrant entrepreneurial ecosystem.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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