Digital Banks - South Africa

South Africa

In South Africa, the Digital Banks market market is expected to witness a significant growth in Net Interest Income.
By 2024, it is projected to reach US$0.76bn.
Looking ahead, the market is expected to maintain a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -0.53%.
This growth trajectory will lead to a market volume of US$0.74bn by 2029.
When considering global comparison, it is worth noting that China will generate the highest Net Interest Income.
In 2024, China is projected to reach a staggering US$463.0bn in Net Interest Income.
This showcases the dominance of the US market in terms of generating revenue in the Digital Banks market segment.
South Africa's digital banking market is experiencing rapid growth, with innovative fintech startups capturing a significant share of the market.

Key regions: Singapore, Germany, United Kingdom, South Korea, China

Definition:

Digital Banks refer to the emerging market for purely digital banks that offer financial services via online and mobile platforms. Unlike traditional banks, digital banks also known as neobanks, do not have store-based branches and instead rely on technology to deliver their services. But in contrast to digital-only direct banks, which focus on providing traditional banking services in an online format, the digital banks/neobanks covered in this analysis prioritize cutting-edge features and a modern user experience.
Digital Banks offer a wide range of financial products and services, including savings and checking accounts, credit cards, personal loans, and investment products, among others. They aim to provide a more convenient, accessible, and user-friendly banking experience by leveraging technology such as mobile apps and artificial intelligence. They also provide a digital identification and onboarding process, often via smartphone.
The Digital Banks market is growing rapidly as consumers increasingly demand more convenient, digitally focused financial services. Neobanks/Digital Banks are able to offer these services at a lower cost compared to traditional banks, as they have lower overhead costs and a more efficient operating model.
However, digital banks face challenges in building trust and establishing their reputation in the financial services industry. They must also navigate the complex regulatory landscape and comply with the same rules and standards as traditional banks.
Overall, the Digital Banks market represents a growing and exciting opportunity for financial services providers to deliver innovative and convenient solutions to consumers.

Structure:

The market data comprises Net Interest Income, the value of Deposits, the value of Loans, Credit Card Interest Income as well as the number of ATMs.

Additional information:

The Banking market is highly competitive and characterized by the presence of large global players as well as regional and local banks. Banks are continually seeking ways to improve their offerings and remain competitive by leveraging technology and offering innovative financial products and services. Additionally, changes in regulations and the growing trend toward digitalization are shaping the retail and commercial banking market, creating opportunities for new entrants and forcing existing players to adapt.

Key players in this market are companies such as Bunq, Tomorrow, and Revolut.

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Analyst Opinion

We are still at the earliest stages of true FinTech as the future impact of cloud computing, IoT, artificial intelligence, and blockchain cannot even be estimated yet. Each year, tech companies are digging deeper into the financial services value chain and also creating new market structures in underbanked developing countries. Pure FinTech players are now sharing the market with some banks which provide new, digital-friendly banking services and integrate digital payments, microfinancing, and robo-advisor services into existing bank accounts.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.