Private Equity - South Africa

  • South Africa
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$58.33m in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 6.50% resulting in a projected total amount of US$62.12m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$9.72m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 5.46 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity Market in South Africa is undergoing minimal decline, influenced by factors like economic uncertainty, fluctuations in commodity prices, and a cautious investment climate that impacts overall growth and confidence in the sector.

Customer preferences:
In South Africa, there is a growing interest in sustainable and socially responsible investment opportunities within the Private Equity Market. Investors are increasingly prioritizing funds that align with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria, reflecting a cultural shift towards ethical consumption. Additionally, younger demographics are driving demand for innovative startups focused on technology and social impact, prompting private equity firms to adapt their strategies to attract this conscientious investor base. This trend is reshaping the competitive landscape and influencing capital allocation decisions.

Trends in the market:
In South Africa, the Private Equity Market is experiencing a shift towards sustainable investing, driven by heightened awareness of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors among investors. This trend is characterized by a growing preference for funds that prioritize social impact alongside financial returns. Additionally, the rise of technology-focused startups is capturing the interest of younger investors who seek innovative solutions to societal challenges. As a result, private equity firms are increasingly integrating ESG criteria into their investment strategies, reshaping market dynamics and influencing capital allocation decisions across various sectors.

Local special circumstances:
In South Africa, the Private Equity Market is uniquely influenced by its socio-economic landscape, marked by significant inequality and a strong push for inclusive growth. The country's historical context emphasizes the need for investment that addresses social disparities, prompting private equity firms to focus on businesses that create jobs and empower marginalized communities. Additionally, regulatory frameworks like the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (B-BBEE) policies encourage firms to align their investments with national development goals, further shaping investment strategies toward sustainable and impactful ventures.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity Market in South Africa is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates. Low interest rates can enhance investment activity by lowering the cost of borrowing, making it easier for private equity firms to finance acquisitions and expand their portfolios. Conversely, rising interest rates could constrain capital availability, slowing down investment growth. Additionally, external economic conditions, like global market fluctuations and commodity price changes, impact investor sentiment and confidence, which, in turn, influences deal flow and the overall performance of private equity investments in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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