Meal Delivery - Tajikistan | Statista Market Forecast

In Tajikistan, the Meal Delivery market is expected to generate a revenue of US$1.62m in 2024.
This revenue is projected to experience an annual growth rate of 8.51%, resulting in a market volume of US$2.43m by 2029.
Moving on to the Platform Deliverymarket, it is projected to reach a market volume of US$1.01m in 2024.
When compared globally, the highest revenue will be generated China, amounting to US$184.50bn in the same year.
Looking at the average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Meal Delivery market, it is projected to be US$16.52 in 2024.
Additionally, the number of users in this market is expected to reach 136.3k users by 2029.
Furthermore, the user penetration rate in the Meal Delivery market is anticipated to be at 0.9% in 2024.
In Tajikistan, the meal delivery market is booming with a surge in demand for traditional Tajik cuisine delivered to homes and offices.

Definition:

Meal Delivery is the online ordering and delivery of prepared meals by a restaurant or a platform for direct consumption. Orders are typically placed in an app or on a website. The delivery is handled by the platform enterprise (e.g. Deliveroo) or directly by the restaurant (e.g. Domino’s).

Structure:

Meal Delivery contains the user and revenue development of two different delivery service solutions for prepared meals: (1) Restaurant Delivery and (2) Platform Delivery. The Restaurant Delivery market includes the delivery of meals carried out directly by the restaurants. The order may be made via platforms (e.g. Delivery Hero, Just Eat) or directly through a restaurant website (e.g. Domino's). The Platform Delivery market focuses on online delivery services that provide customers with meals from partner restaurants that do not necessarily have to offer food delivery themselves. In this case, the platform (e.g. Deliveroo) handles the delivery process.).

Additional Information:

Revenue includes the gross merchandise value (GMV), defined as the total sales dollar value for merchandise/food sold through the Online Food Delivery marketplace. User and revenue figures represent B2C services.

Meals ordered online which are directly delivered by the restaurant, no matter if ordered via a platform (e.g. Delivery Hero) or a restaurant website (e.g. Domino's)
Online meal order and delivery both carried out by a platform (e.g. Deliveroo)
Online orders that are picked up in the restaurant

Phone orders
Deliveries of non-processed or non-prepared food (e.g. HelloFresh)

Meal delivery services have recently gained popularity in Tajikistan, providing convenience and accessibility to customers. With the rise of technology and online platforms, meal delivery services have become a new trend in the food industry.

Customer preferences: Tajikistan's meal delivery market is mainly driven by the convenience it offers to customers. The busy lifestyle of people and increasing urbanization has led to a shift in consumer preferences towards ready-to-eat meals. Customers are more inclined towards ordering food online and having it delivered to their doorstep. Additionally, the pandemic has further accelerated the demand for meal delivery services as people prefer to stay at home and avoid crowded places.

Trends in the market: The meal delivery market in Tajikistan is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by the increasing demand for convenience and accessibility. With the rise of e-commerce platforms, meal delivery services have become more accessible to customers. Companies are also offering a wider range of cuisines to cater to the diverse taste preferences of customers. Moreover, the use of technology such as mobile applications and online payment systems has made the ordering process easier and more efficient.

Local special circumstances: Tajikistan has a diverse food culture with a mix of Central Asian, Middle Eastern, and Russian influences. The local cuisine includes dishes such as plov, shashlik, and lagman. Meal delivery services in Tajikistan are also influenced by these local cuisines, with companies offering traditional dishes alongside international cuisines. Furthermore, the country's geography and weather conditions pose a challenge to the delivery process, especially during the winter season when the roads are covered in snow.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Tajikistan's economy is heavily reliant on remittances, with a large portion of the population working abroad and sending money back home. This has led to an increase in disposable income, which has subsequently led to a rise in consumer spending. The growth of the meal delivery market is also driven by the increasing penetration of smartphones and internet connectivity in the country. The government's efforts to promote entrepreneurship and the development of the e-commerce sector have also contributed to the growth of the meal delivery market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

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