Grocery Delivery - CIS | Statista Market Forecast

The projected revenue for the Grocery Delivery market in CIS is expected to reach US$7.46bn in 2024.
This indicates a positive growth trend, with an annual growth rate of 6.00% (CAGR 2024-2029).
Based on this growth rate, the market volume is projected to reach US$9.99bn by 2029.
The Retail Delivery market in CIS is also predicted to experience significant growth, with a projected market volume of US$6.28bn in 2024.
When comparing global markets, China is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Grocery Delivery market, with an estimated revenue of US$266.00bn in 2024.
In terms of average revenue per user (ARPU), the Grocery Delivery market in CIS is projected to reach US$258.00 in 2024.
The number of users in the Grocery Delivery market is expected to increase to 38.0m users by 2029.
Furthermore, user penetration in the Grocery Delivery market is anticipated to reach 11.9% in 2024.
This indicates the proportion of the population that is actively using Grocery Delivery market services in CIS.
In the CIS, grocery delivery services have gained immense popularity due to the convenience they offer in a region with vast geographical distances and harsh weather conditions.

Definition:

The Grocery Delivery market consists of food and non-food products that people regularly buy from a grocery store, including food and beverages, pet food, household cleaning products, personal care products, and other household consumables. Grocery delivery can be purchased through several different sales channels such as Omnichannel, Quick Commerce, or directly from the store.

Structure:

Grocery Delivery contains three markets: Retail Delivery, Quick Commerce, and Meal Kit Delivery. Retail Delivery includes delivery of these products directly by supermarkets, brick-and-mortar shops, or grocery stores. The order is placed through an online shop run by the retailer (e.g. Walmart+, Amazon Fresh). Quick Commerce focuses on online delivery services that provide customers with last-mile delivery (Instacart), or operate ghost stores where product selection is limited but delivery time is faster (e.g. Gorillas, Getir, and Glovo). In this case, the platform (e.g. Gorillas) handles the delivery process. This also includes grocery delivery platforms where delivery is advertised under 3 hours, although, most players aim to deliver in minutes. Finally, Meal Kit Delivery encompasses the delivery of a recipe box where fresh ingredients are delivered to be prepared. This service is usually offered as a subscription plan (e.g. HelloFresh).

Additional Information:

Revenue figures refer to Gross Merchandise Value (GMV). User and revenue figures represent B2C services.

Fresh food & Beverages, personal care, or household items ordered online are directly delivered to the consumer, no matter if ordered via a platform (e.g., Instacart) or a retailer website (e.g., Walmart)
Online Grocery orders and delivery are both carried out by a retailer (e.g., Walmart)
Online orders that are picked up in the supermarket (e.g., Instacart) or operating ghost warehouses and delivery logistics (e.g., Flink)
Online orders of recipe boxes where the ingredients are already preportioned (e.g., HelloFresh)

Phone orders
Deliveries of prepared meals for direct consumption (e.g. Meal Delivery)

The Grocery Delivery market in CIS has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by changing consumer preferences and technological advancements.

Customer preferences: Consumers in CIS countries are increasingly turning to online grocery shopping and delivery services due to the convenience they offer. With busy lifestyles and limited time, customers find it more convenient to have their groceries delivered to their doorstep rather than visiting physical stores. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the adoption of online grocery shopping as people seek to minimize their exposure to the virus.

Trends in the market: One of the major trends in the Grocery Delivery market in CIS is the rise of local players. Local players have been able to establish a strong foothold in the market by catering to the specific needs and preferences of local consumers. These players have been able to offer personalized services, faster delivery times, and a wider range of products at competitive prices.Another trend in the market is the increasing adoption of mobile apps for online grocery shopping. Mobile apps offer a more convenient and seamless shopping experience for customers, allowing them to place orders and track deliveries from their smartphones.

Local special circumstances: The Grocery Delivery market in CIS is characterized by a diverse range of local players. Each country in the region has its own unique market dynamics, with different consumer preferences and local players dominating the market. For example, in Russia, the market is dominated by Yandex.Lavka, while in Kazakhstan, the market is dominated by Chocofood.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Grocery Delivery market in CIS can be attributed to a number of underlying macroeconomic factors. These include rising disposable incomes, increasing internet penetration, and the growing popularity of e-commerce. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has played a significant role in driving the growth of the market, as consumers seek to minimize their exposure to the virus by shopping online.In conclusion, the Grocery Delivery market in CIS is experiencing significant growth driven by changing consumer preferences and technological advancements. The rise of local players, increasing adoption of mobile apps, and diverse market dynamics are some of the key trends in the market. Rising disposable incomes, increasing internet penetration, and the growing popularity of e-commerce are some of the underlying macroeconomic factors driving the growth of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Ecommerce market, in a PDF format.