Online Lottery - Estonia

  • Estonia
  • Revenue in the Online Lottery market is projected to reach US$88.75m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.63%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$111.30m by 2029.
  • In the Online Lottery market, the number of users is expected to amount to 29.3k users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 1.7% in 2024 and is expected to hit 2.3% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$3.97k.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$4,391.00m in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 6.5%, the user penetration in the Online Lottery market is highest in South Korea.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Lottery market in Estonia has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences and the introduction of new technologies.

Customer preferences:
Estonian customers have shown a growing interest in online lottery games, as they offer convenience and accessibility. Online platforms allow players to participate in lottery games from the comfort of their own homes, eliminating the need to visit physical lottery retailers. Additionally, online lottery platforms often offer a wider range of games and larger jackpots, which appeal to customers looking for more variety and bigger prizes.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Estonian online lottery market is the increasing popularity of mobile lottery apps. With the widespread use of smartphones, more and more customers are opting to play lottery games on their mobile devices. Mobile apps provide a seamless and user-friendly experience, allowing customers to play anytime and anywhere. This trend is expected to continue as mobile technology advances and more innovative features are introduced. Another trend in the market is the integration of social elements into online lottery games. Many online platforms now offer features such as chat rooms and social media integration, allowing players to interact with each other and share their experiences. This not only enhances the overall gaming experience but also creates a sense of community among players.

Local special circumstances:
Estonia has a relatively small population compared to other countries, which presents both opportunities and challenges for the online lottery market. On one hand, the smaller market size allows for more targeted marketing and personalized offerings. Online lottery operators can tailor their products and promotions to the specific needs and preferences of Estonian customers. On the other hand, the smaller market size also means that there is a limited pool of potential customers. This makes it crucial for online lottery operators to differentiate themselves and offer unique value propositions to attract and retain customers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the online lottery market in Estonia is also influenced by macroeconomic factors. The country has a strong and stable economy, with a high level of internet penetration and disposable income. This creates a favorable environment for online businesses, including online lottery operators. Additionally, Estonia has a well-developed regulatory framework for online gambling, which provides a secure and trustworthy environment for both operators and customers. These factors contribute to the overall growth and development of the online lottery market in Estonia. In conclusion, the Online Lottery market in Estonia is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, including a shift towards online platforms and mobile apps. The integration of social elements into online lottery games is also a notable trend. The small market size presents both opportunities and challenges for online lottery operators, who must differentiate themselves and offer unique value propositions. The strong and stable economy, high internet penetration, and well-developed regulatory framework in Estonia contribute to the growth of the online lottery market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Gambling Revenue (GGR) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined through a Top-Down approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Consumer Insights Global survey), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as GDP, number of internet users, and internet consumption.

Forecasts:

We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, and 4G coverage.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Data from the Statista Consumer Insights Global survey is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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