Train Tickets - Nepal | Statista Market Forecast

By 2025, the Train Tickets market in Nepal is expected to generate a revenue of US$1.21m, with an annual growth rate of 5.40% (CAGR 2025-2029).
This is projected to result in a market volume of US$1.49m by 2029.
In the same year, the number of users is expected to reach 456.80k users, with a user penetration of 1.3% in 2025 and 1.5% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is estimated to be US$3.19.
Furthermore, it is expected that 65% of the total revenue in the Train Tickets market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
In a global comparison, China is projected to generate the highest revenue of US$75bn in 2025 in the Train Tickets market.
Despite facing challenges with infrastructure and funding, Nepal's railway sector has seen recent growth in development and modernization efforts.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

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Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

Train Tickets: market data & analysis

The Trains market in Nepal has been experiencing steady growth in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to the development of this sector.

Customer preferences: In Nepal, there is a growing demand for more efficient and reliable transportation options. Trains offer a convenient and affordable mode of transportation, especially for long-distance travel. Customers appreciate the comfort and safety that trains provide, as well as the ability to avoid traffic congestion on the roads. Additionally, trains are seen as a more environmentally friendly option compared to other modes of transportation. As a result, there is a strong preference for train travel among customers in Nepal.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Trains market in Nepal is the expansion and modernization of the existing railway infrastructure. The government has been investing in the development of new railway lines and upgrading the existing ones to improve connectivity within the country and with neighboring countries. This has led to an increase in the number of trains operating in Nepal, as well as improved efficiency and reliability of the train services. Another trend in the market is the introduction of new technologies and amenities on trains. To attract more customers and enhance the overall travel experience, train operators in Nepal are incorporating features such as Wi-Fi connectivity, comfortable seating, and onboard entertainment systems. These advancements have helped in attracting a wider customer base and increasing the popularity of train travel in the country.

Local special circumstances: Nepal's challenging topography, characterized by mountainous terrain and difficult road conditions, has made trains a preferred mode of transportation for many people. Trains are able to navigate through the rugged landscape more easily and provide a smoother and more comfortable journey compared to other modes of transportation. This has further fueled the demand for trains in Nepal.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growing economy of Nepal has played a significant role in the development of the Trains market. As the country's GDP continues to rise, more people have disposable income to spend on travel and transportation. This has led to an increase in the number of people opting for train travel, thereby driving the growth of the market. Furthermore, the government's focus on infrastructure development and improving connectivity has provided a favorable environment for the Trains market to thrive. Investments in railway projects and the implementation of supportive policies have encouraged private sector participation and stimulated market growth. In conclusion, the Trains market in Nepal is developing due to customer preferences for efficient and reliable transportation, trends such as infrastructure expansion and technological advancements, local special circumstances including challenging topography, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and government initiatives. These factors have collectively contributed to the growth and popularity of train travel in Nepal.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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Train Tickets - Nepal

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