Public Transportation - Zambia | Statista Market Forecast

The Public Transportation market in Zambia is expected to generate a revenue of US$129.60m by 2024.
Furthermore, it is projected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.42%, which would result in a market volume of US$168.70m by 2029.
It is estimated that the number of users in this market will reach 13.86m users by 2029, with a user penetration rate of 48.8% in 2024, which is expected to increase to 57.6% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is forecasted to be US$12.57.
In terms of revenue generation, it is expected that 14% of the total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2029.
It is noteworthy to mention that in the global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with a projected revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
Public transportation in Zambia faces challenges due to poor infrastructure and limited funding for maintenance and expansion.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

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Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Zambia is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences: Customers in Zambia are increasingly opting for public transportation due to its affordability and convenience. With the rising cost of owning and maintaining a private vehicle, many individuals are turning to public transportation as a cost-effective alternative. Additionally, the convenience of public transportation, with its fixed routes and schedules, appeals to customers who want a reliable and efficient mode of transportation.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Zambia is the expansion of the bus network. Bus companies are investing in new vehicles and expanding their routes to cater to the growing demand for public transportation. This expansion is driven by the need to provide transportation options to the increasing urban population and to connect different regions of the country. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology to improve the efficiency and convenience of public transportation. Mobile ticketing and payment systems are becoming more prevalent, allowing customers to easily purchase tickets and access transportation services. This trend is driven by the increasing penetration of smartphones and the desire to streamline the ticketing process for both customers and operators.

Local special circumstances: Zambia's urban population is growing at a rapid pace, leading to increased congestion and traffic problems in major cities. This has further fueled the demand for public transportation as an alternative to private vehicles. The government has recognized the need to invest in public transportation infrastructure to address these challenges and improve mobility for its citizens.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Zambia's economy has been growing steadily in recent years, leading to increased disposable income and purchasing power among its population. This has contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market as more people are able to afford transportation services. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development has created opportunities for investment in the public transportation sector. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Zambia is growing and developing due to customer preferences for affordability and convenience, the expansion of the bus network, the adoption of technology, the increasing urban population, and the underlying macroeconomic factors. These factors are driving the demand for public transportation and shaping the market dynamics in Zambia.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.