Public Transportation - Mongolia

  • Mongolia
  • The Public Transportation market in Mongolia is forecasted to witness a significant surge in revenue, reaching US$53.05m by 2024.
  • The market is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.72% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a market volume of US$66.82m by 2029.
  • Furthermore, the number of users in this market is expected to increase to 2.58m users by 2029.
  • The user penetration rate is projected to decrease slightly from 59.9% in 2024 to 69.7% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to remain constant at US$25.35.
  • It is anticipated that 17% of the total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • In comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Public Transportation market, amounting to US$52bn in 2024.
  • Mongolian public transportation system is undergoing modernization with the introduction of new buses and the expansion of the Ulaanbaatar bus network.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Mongolia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards using public transportation as a more convenient and cost-effective mode of transportation. This trend is driven by several factors, including increasing urbanization, rising population, and government initiatives to improve public transportation infrastructure. Additionally, local special circumstances such as the high cost of car ownership and limited parking space in urban areas have also contributed to the growth of the public transportation market.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Mongolia are increasingly choosing public transportation as their preferred mode of transportation. This is due to the convenience and affordability offered by public transportation systems. With the increasing urbanization and population growth in Mongolia, the demand for efficient transportation options has also increased. Public transportation provides a reliable and efficient means of commuting, especially in congested urban areas. Furthermore, the cost of car ownership in Mongolia is relatively high, making public transportation a more cost-effective option for many individuals.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Mongolia is the expansion and improvement of existing transportation infrastructure. The government has been investing in the development of new bus and railway networks, as well as the modernization of existing systems. This has led to increased accessibility and improved travel times for commuters. Additionally, the introduction of new technologies, such as contactless payment systems and real-time tracking, has enhanced the overall customer experience. Another trend in the market is the integration of different modes of transportation. The government has been promoting the use of multi-modal transportation systems, which allow commuters to seamlessly switch between different modes of transportation, such as buses, trains, and bicycles. This integrated approach not only improves the overall efficiency of the transportation system but also encourages more people to use public transportation.

Local special circumstances:
The high cost of car ownership in Mongolia is a significant factor driving the growth of the public transportation market. Owning a car in Mongolia is expensive due to high import taxes and fuel prices. Additionally, the limited availability of parking space in urban areas makes it inconvenient for individuals to own and park their cars. As a result, many people are opting for public transportation as a more practical and cost-effective alternative.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the public transportation market in Mongolia is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country has been experiencing steady economic growth, which has led to increased disposable income and improved living standards. This has resulted in a higher demand for transportation services, including public transportation. Furthermore, the government's focus on infrastructure development and urbanization has created opportunities for the expansion of the public transportation market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Mongolia is experiencing significant growth due to changing customer preferences, increasing urbanization, and government initiatives. Customers are opting for public transportation as a more convenient and cost-effective mode of transportation. The market is witnessing trends such as the expansion and improvement of transportation infrastructure and the integration of different modes of transportation. Local special circumstances, such as the high cost of car ownership and limited parking space, further contribute to the growth of the market. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth and government investment, also play a role in driving the development of the public transportation market in Mongolia.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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