Public Transportation - LATAM | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Public Transportation market is projected to reach US$24.55bn in 2024.
Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.47%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$27.73bn by 2029.
In the Public Transportation market, the number of users is expected to amount to 415.70m users by 2029.
User penetration is projected to be 59.3% in 2024 and 63.3% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$65.14.
In the Public Transportation market, 19% of total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2029.
In global comparison, most revenue will be generated United States (US$52bn in 2024).

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

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Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in LATAM has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences, emerging market trends, and local special circumstances. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable and cost-effective transportation options, leading to an increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, the market has been influenced by various trends, such as the adoption of advanced technologies, government initiatives to improve transportation infrastructure, and the rise of ride-sharing platforms. Furthermore, local special circumstances, such as rapid urbanization and increasing population density, have also contributed to the development of the market. Lastly, underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth and rising disposable incomes, have played a crucial role in driving the demand for public transportation services in LATAM.

Customer preferences: Customers in LATAM are increasingly prioritizing sustainability and cost-effectiveness when it comes to transportation. Public transportation offers a more environmentally friendly alternative to private vehicles, reducing carbon emissions and congestion on the roads. Moreover, public transportation is often more affordable than owning and maintaining a private vehicle, making it an attractive option for budget-conscious individuals. As a result, more people are choosing to use public transportation for their daily commute and other travel needs.

Trends in the market: The Public Transportation market in LATAM is witnessing several trends that are shaping its development. One prominent trend is the adoption of advanced technologies in public transportation systems. This includes the implementation of smart ticketing systems, real-time passenger information, and mobile applications for trip planning and payment. These technological advancements enhance the overall customer experience and improve the efficiency of public transportation services. Another trend in the market is the focus on improving transportation infrastructure. Governments in LATAM are investing in the expansion and modernization of public transportation networks, including the construction of new metro lines, bus rapid transit systems, and intercity rail connections. These infrastructure improvements aim to enhance connectivity, reduce travel times, and provide more reliable and comfortable transportation options for commuters. The rise of ride-sharing platforms, such as Uber and Lyft, has also had an impact on the Public Transportation market in LATAM. While these platforms initially posed a threat to traditional public transportation services, many cities in the region have implemented regulations to ensure fair competition and protect the interests of both passengers and public transportation operators. As a result, ride-sharing platforms are now being integrated into public transportation systems, offering passengers more flexible and convenient travel options.

Local special circumstances: LATAM is characterized by rapid urbanization and increasing population density, particularly in major cities. This presents unique challenges for transportation infrastructure and necessitates the development of efficient and sustainable public transportation systems. The high population density makes public transportation a more practical and efficient mode of transportation, reducing congestion on the roads and improving overall mobility in urban areas.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Public Transportation market in LATAM is supported by underlying macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth and rising disposable incomes. As economies in the region continue to expand, more people are able to afford public transportation services. Additionally, the growing middle class in LATAM is increasingly seeking convenient and affordable transportation options, further driving the demand for public transportation. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in LATAM is developing due to changing customer preferences, emerging market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards sustainability and cost-effectiveness, the adoption of advanced technologies, government investments in transportation infrastructure, and the rise of ride-sharing platforms are all contributing to the growth of the market. Furthermore, rapid urbanization and increasing population density, along with economic growth and rising disposable incomes, are creating a favorable environment for the development of public transportation in LATAM.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.