Train Tickets - LATAM | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Train Tickets market is projected to reach US$529.30m in 2024.
Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.83%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$608.50m by 2029.
In the Train Tickets market, the number of users is expected to amount to 23.95m users by 2029.
User penetration is projected to be 3.0% in 2024 and 3.6% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$27.74.
In the Train Tickets market, 58% of total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2029.
In global comparison, most revenue will be generated China (US$72bn in 2024).

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

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Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in LATAM is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this positive trajectory. Customer preferences in the Trains market in LATAM have shifted towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation. With increasing concerns about environmental impact and the need for more efficient travel options, consumers are opting for trains as a preferred mode of transportation. Trains offer a cost-effective and eco-friendly alternative to other forms of transportation, such as cars or planes. Additionally, trains provide a comfortable and convenient travel experience, with amenities such as spacious seating, onboard entertainment, and dining options. Trends in the market further support the growth of the Trains market in LATAM. Governments and transportation authorities are investing in the expansion and modernization of railway infrastructure. This includes the construction of new railway lines, upgrading existing tracks, and improving connectivity between cities and regions. These investments not only enhance the efficiency and reliability of train services but also contribute to economic development by facilitating trade and tourism. Local special circumstances in LATAM also play a role in the development of the Trains market. The vast geography of the region, with its diverse landscapes and long distances between cities, makes trains an attractive option for both domestic and international travel. Trains offer a convenient and time-saving mode of transportation, especially for long-haul journeys. Additionally, the Trains market in LATAM caters to a wide range of customers, including business travelers, tourists, and local commuters. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the growth of the Trains market in LATAM. Economic stability and rising disposable incomes have increased the demand for travel and tourism in the region. As a result, more people are opting for train travel as a convenient and affordable option. Furthermore, government initiatives to promote domestic tourism and regional integration have also boosted the demand for train services. In conclusion, the Trains market in LATAM is experiencing significant growth and development due to customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation, investments in railway infrastructure, the vast geography of the region, and economic stability are all contributing to the positive trajectory of the Trains market in LATAM.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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