Public Transportation - GCC

  • GCC
  • The Public Transportation market in the GCC is predicted to witness a significant rise in revenue, with an estimated value of US$2.85bn by 2024.
  • The market is expected to grow annually at a rate of 2.79% between 2024 and 2029, leading to a projected market size of US$3.27bn by 2029.
  • Furthermore, the number of users in the Public Transportation market is anticipated to reach 23.55m users by 2029, with a user penetration rate of 34.8% in 2024 and 36.9% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) for the Public Transportation market is expected to be US$135.60.
  • Additionally, online sales are projected to contribute 29% of the total revenue in the market by 2029.
  • It is worth noting that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Public Transportation market, amounting to US$52bn in 2024.
  • The implementation of new metro lines in the rapidly developing cities of the GCC region is drastically improving public transportation infrastructure and accessibility in the area.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in GCC is witnessing significant growth and development. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors are driving this growth. Customer preferences in the GCC region are shifting towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation. With increasing concerns about environmental pollution and traffic congestion, people are opting for public transportation options to reduce their carbon footprint and save time. Additionally, the younger population in GCC countries is more inclined towards using public transportation due to its affordability and convenience. Trends in the market indicate a strong focus on expanding and improving public transportation infrastructure. GCC countries are investing heavily in the development of metro and tram networks, bus rapid transit systems, and intercity rail links. These investments are aimed at enhancing connectivity within and between cities, reducing traffic congestion, and providing a comfortable and reliable mode of transportation for residents and tourists. Local special circumstances in the GCC region also contribute to the development of the public transportation market. The high population density in cities like Dubai and Riyadh, coupled with rapid urbanization, has created a need for efficient transportation systems. Additionally, the large expatriate population in GCC countries relies heavily on public transportation for their daily commute, further driving the demand for improved and expanded services. Underlying macroeconomic factors play a crucial role in the development of the public transportation market in the GCC. The region's strong economic growth and diversification efforts have resulted in increased urbanization and population growth. This, in turn, has led to a higher demand for transportation services. Furthermore, government initiatives and policies aimed at promoting sustainable development and reducing dependence on private vehicles have also contributed to the growth of the public transportation market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in GCC is experiencing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for sustainable and efficient transportation options, trends in expanding and improving infrastructure, local special circumstances such as population density and expatriate population, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and government initiatives. This growth is expected to continue as GCC countries strive to create more sustainable and connected cities.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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