Public Transportation - China | Statista Market Forecast

China's Public Transportation market is predicted to witness a significant growth in its revenue, with an expected value of US$35.78bn by 2024.
The market is anticipated to grow annually at a rate of 3.24% between 2024 and 2029, resulting in a projected market volume of US$41.97bn by 2029.
Moreover, the number of users in the Public Transportation market sector is expected to increase to 915.60m users by 2029.
It is projected that user penetration will rise from 59.3% in 2024 to 64.2% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is estimated to be US$42.15.
Online sales are also expected to contribute to 23% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market by 2029.
In comparison to other countries globally, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
China's public transportation sector is rapidly expanding with the introduction of high-speed trains, subways, and electric buses to combat air pollution and congestion.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in China has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences: Chinese customers are increasingly opting for public transportation as their preferred mode of travel. This shift in preference can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the convenience and efficiency of public transportation systems, such as buses and trains, make them an attractive option for commuters in urban areas. Additionally, the rising awareness of environmental issues has led to a growing demand for greener transportation alternatives, further boosting the popularity of public transportation.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Chinese public transportation market is the rapid expansion of metro systems in major cities. The construction of new metro lines and the extension of existing ones have significantly improved connectivity and accessibility, making public transportation a more viable option for a larger population. This trend is expected to continue as the government continues to invest in urban infrastructure development. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology in public transportation services. Mobile payment systems, such as QR code scanning and mobile apps, have made it easier for passengers to pay for their fares and access information about routes and schedules. This integration of technology has not only improved the overall passenger experience but also increased the efficiency of operations for public transportation providers.

Local special circumstances: China's rapidly urbanizing population and the resulting increase in traffic congestion have created a pressing need for efficient public transportation systems. The country's large population and high population density in urban areas make it necessary to invest in mass transit options to alleviate traffic congestion and reduce pollution. Additionally, the government's push for sustainable development and the reduction of carbon emissions has further emphasized the importance of public transportation as a means of transportation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: China's robust economic growth has played a significant role in the development of the public transportation market. As the country's middle class continues to expand, more individuals have the financial means to afford private vehicles. However, the government's efforts to promote public transportation as a sustainable and efficient mode of travel have helped to counterbalance this trend. Additionally, the government's investments in infrastructure development, including the expansion of public transportation networks, have provided a boost to the market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in China is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The increasing demand for convenient and environmentally-friendly transportation options, along with government investments in infrastructure development, are driving the expansion of the market. The integration of technology in public transportation services is also contributing to the growth and improvement of the overall passenger experience.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.