Bus Tickets - Iran | Statista Market Forecast

Iran's Bus Tickets market is predicted to witness a significant growth in revenue, with an anticipated value of US$34.14m in 2024.
This industry is expected to expand at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.79% within the period of 2024-2029, consequently reaching a market volume of US$68.04m by 2029.
Moreover, the number of users in the Bus Tickets market is estimated to reach 3.95m users by 2029, while user penetration is predicted to decline from 2.7% in 2024 to 4.3% by 2029.
The Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) is projected to be US$14.18.
Additionally, in the Bus Tickets market, online sales are expected to account for 63% of the total revenue by 2029.
It is noteworthy that China is expected to generate the highest revenue in this market globally, with an estimated value of US$5bn in 2024.
Iran's bus market is dominated by domestically produced vehicles, with a focus on fuel efficiency and low maintenance costs.

Definition:

The Bus tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach. This includes country-specific providers of bus transport, e.g., Eurolines, National Express and Greyhound. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription-based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Bus tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by bus or coach
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular, scheduled bus service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel
Bus trips that are organized as an excursion or specifically for a travel group

The Buses market in Iran has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. Customer preferences in Iran have played a crucial role in driving the growth of the Buses market. With the increasing urbanization and population growth in the country, there has been a growing demand for public transportation solutions. Buses, being a cost-effective and efficient mode of transportation, have become the preferred choice for many Iranians. Additionally, the government has been actively promoting the use of public transportation to reduce traffic congestion and pollution, further boosting the demand for buses. Trends in the market have also contributed to the growth of the Buses market in Iran. One notable trend is the shift towards electric buses. As the government aims to reduce the country's dependence on fossil fuels and mitigate environmental issues, there has been a growing adoption of electric buses in Iran. This trend is supported by government incentives and subsidies, making electric buses more affordable and attractive for both operators and consumers. Another trend in the Buses market in Iran is the increasing demand for minibuses and shuttle services. With the rise of ride-hailing platforms and the growing need for flexible and convenient transportation options, minibuses and shuttle services have gained popularity among commuters. These smaller buses cater to the specific needs of certain routes or areas, providing a more personalized and efficient transportation solution. Local special circumstances have also influenced the development of the Buses market in Iran. The country has a relatively young population, with a significant portion of the population being of working age. This demographic factor has contributed to the increasing demand for public transportation, as many young Iranians rely on buses for their daily commute to work or school. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also played a role in the growth of the Buses market in Iran. The country has witnessed a period of economic growth, which has led to an increase in disposable income and improved living standards for many Iranians. As a result, more people are able to afford private vehicles, leading to an increase in traffic congestion. This, in turn, has further fueled the demand for public transportation, including buses. In conclusion, the Buses market in Iran is experiencing significant growth due to a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The increasing demand for public transportation, the shift towards electric buses, the popularity of minibuses and shuttle services, the young demographic, and the economic growth in the country are all contributing to the development of the Buses market in Iran.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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