Coal - Worldwide

The Coal Market within the Fossil Fuels sector is experiencing moderate growth globally, influenced by increasing environmental regulations, a shift towards renewable energy sources, and declining demand in major economies, all impacting its long-term viability.

Customer preferences: Consumers are increasingly prioritizing sustainable energy sources, leading to a marked decline in the acceptance of coal as a viable option. Rising environmental awareness, especially among younger generations, is driving demand for cleaner alternatives, such as solar and wind energy. Additionally, urbanization and lifestyle changes are promoting energy efficiency and smart home technologies that reduce reliance on traditional fossil fuels. This shift reflects a broader cultural movement towards sustainability, influencing policy and investment decisions in the energy sector.

Trends in the market: Globally, the coal market is experiencing a significant decline as countries prioritize the transition to renewable energy sources. In Europe, governments are implementing stricter regulations on coal use, leading to accelerated phase-outs of coal-fired power plants. In Asia, particularly in India and China, there is a growing emphasis on improving air quality, prompting investments in cleaner technologies. Meanwhile, in North America, coal producers face increasing competition from natural gas and renewables, forcing them to adapt or exit the market. These trends signal a pivotal shift in energy policies, affecting investments and operational strategies across the industry.

Local special circumstances: In Indonesia, the coal market remains robust due to abundant reserves and a strong domestic demand for electricity, particularly in rural areas where access to energy is still limited. The government supports coal production to ensure energy security and economic growth, often prioritizing it over renewables. Conversely, in Germany, the accelerated phase-out of coal is driven by stringent environmental regulations and a societal commitment to sustainability, creating a significant shift in energy consumption patterns and fostering investment in alternative energy sources.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The coal market within the fossil fuels sector is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global energy demand, national economic performance, and environmental regulations. In countries with robust industrial sectors, like Indonesia, high demand for electricity propels coal production, driven by government policies favoring energy security and economic growth. Conversely, in nations like Germany, macroeconomic shifts toward sustainability and stringent climate policies are compelling a transition away from coal, affecting investments and market dynamics. Moreover, fluctuations in global coal prices and trade patterns further impact local economies, reinforcing the dichotomy between coal-dependent and renewable-focused markets.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on the value of electricity production in the energy market.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting electricity generation due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.