Coal - China

  • China
  • In China, electricity generation within the Coal market is projected to reach 5.35tn kWh in 2024.
  • The anticipated annual growth rate for this market is 2.15%, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2029.
  • China's coal market is increasingly influenced by stringent environmental regulations, driving a shift towards cleaner energy alternatives despite its continued reliance on coal derivatives.

Key regions: Austria, Japan, China, Australia, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Coal Market within the Fossil Fuels sector in China is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by stricter environmental regulations, a shift towards renewable energy sources, and increasing investments in cleaner technologies, which are reshaping energy consumption patterns.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in China are increasingly prioritizing sustainable energy solutions, leading to a marked decline in coal consumption. As environmental awareness rises, especially among younger demographics, there is a growing preference for cleaner energy alternatives. This shift is influenced by urbanization, where cities emphasize green initiatives and eco-friendly practices. Additionally, lifestyle changes, such as the desire for healthier living and climate-conscious choices, are driving demand for renewable energy sources and innovative technologies that minimize environmental impact.

Trends in the market:
In China, the coal market is experiencing a significant decline as consumers increasingly embrace sustainable energy solutions. This trend is driven by heightened environmental awareness, particularly among younger generations, who prioritize cleaner energy alternatives. Urbanization plays a crucial role, as cities implement green initiatives and promote eco-friendly practices. Additionally, lifestyle changes reflect a growing desire for healthier living, fostering demand for renewable energy sources and innovative technologies. For industry stakeholders, this shift presents challenges in adapting to regulatory pressures and evolving consumer preferences, while also opening opportunities for investment in cleaner energy innovations.

Local special circumstances:
In China, the coal market is uniquely influenced by a blend of geographical, cultural, and regulatory factors that set it apart from other regions. The country's vast coal reserves, primarily located in the north and northwest, face increasing scrutiny due to air quality concerns in densely populated areas. Culturally, there is a rising collective consciousness regarding environmental sustainability, particularly among urban youth. Moreover, stringent government regulations aim to reduce carbon emissions, compelling coal-dependent industries to innovate or transition to cleaner energy sources, thus reshaping market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The coal market in China is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global energy demand, national economic policies, and environmental regulations. As China continues to industrialize, its economic growth drives coal consumption, but global shifts toward renewable energy are prompting a reevaluation of its energy strategy. National policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting cleaner energy sources are reshaping the coal sector, leading to increased investments in alternative technologies. Furthermore, fluctuations in global coal prices and trade relationships also affect domestic market dynamics, compelling coal producers to adapt to changing economic conditions and consumer preferences.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on the value of electricity production in the energy market.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting electricity generation due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Production
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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