Real Estate - Zambia

Zambia

The Real Estate market market in Zambia is forecasted to achieve a significant milestone by 2024, with an estimated value of US$324.20bn.
Among the various segments within the market, Residential Real Estate takes the lead, projected to have a market volume of US$267.20bn in 2024.
Over the next five years (2024-2029), the market is expected to experience a steady growth rate with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.31%.
This growth trajectory would result in a market volume of US$419.90bn by 2029.
When comparing the global Real Estate market market, it is noteworthy that United States is anticipated to generate the highest value, reaching US$132.0tn in 2024.
Zambia's real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand for commercial properties due to the country's growing economy and investment-friendly policies.

Key regions: United States, China, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Real Estate market in Zambia has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Zambia have shown a strong preference for residential properties, particularly in urban areas. This is driven by the increasing urbanization and population growth in the country. Additionally, there is a growing demand for affordable housing options, as many people in Zambia are unable to afford high-end properties.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Zambian Real Estate market is the development of gated communities and housing estates. These offer a range of amenities and security features, making them attractive to buyers. Another trend is the rise of mixed-use developments, which combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces in one location. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and accessibility.

Local special circumstances: Zambia has a rapidly growing middle class, which has led to an increase in demand for housing. Additionally, the government has implemented policies to promote affordable housing and attract foreign investment in the Real Estate sector. These factors contribute to the overall growth and development of the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Zambia has experienced stable economic growth in recent years, which has led to an increase in disposable income and consumer spending. This has had a positive impact on the Real Estate market, as more people are able to invest in properties. The country also has a relatively young population, which provides a strong foundation for future growth in the market. In conclusion, the Real Estate market in Zambia is experiencing significant growth and development, driven by customer preferences for residential properties, the development of gated communities and mixed-use developments, and the government's efforts to promote affordable housing and attract foreign investment. The underlying macroeconomic factors, such as stable economic growth and a young population, provide a strong foundation for future growth in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of residential and commercial real estate, average real estate value, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data from international organizations and industry associations. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.