Private Equity - Zambia

  • Zambia
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.04m in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 11.88% resulting in a projected total amount of US$4.52m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$2.30m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 2.39 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Zambia has shown minimal decline, influenced by factors such as economic instability, fluctuating commodity prices, and limited access to funding. Despite these challenges, investor interest remains in growing sectors like agriculture and technology.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Zambia's Private Equity market are noticing a growing demand for sustainable and locally sourced products, reflecting a shift towards environmental consciousness among consumers. This trend is further fueled by a young, tech-savvy population that values transparency and ethical practices. Additionally, the increasing urbanization has led to a preference for convenience-driven services, such as e-commerce platforms and delivery solutions. As lifestyle changes continue to evolve, sectors like agritech and renewable energy are gaining traction, prompting private equity interest in innovative solutions that align with these consumer preferences.

Trends in the market:
In Zambia, the Private Equity market is experiencing increased investment in sustainable agriculture and renewable energy, driven by a demand for eco-friendly products and services. The tech-savvy youth are leveraging digital platforms, leading to a surge in e-commerce and innovative delivery services. Furthermore, urbanization is changing consumer habits, emphasizing convenience and quality. This shift not only attracts private equity firms but also compels traditional industries to adapt, fostering a more sustainable and resilient economy that aligns with evolving consumer values and societal priorities.

Local special circumstances:
In Zambia, the Private Equity market is influenced by its rich natural resources and agricultural potential, attracting investors focused on sustainable practices. The country’s diverse cultures promote local agriculture and traditional crafts, enhancing the appeal of impact investing in these sectors. Regulatory frameworks supporting foreign investment are evolving, although challenges remain in infrastructure and trade logistics. Moreover, the youthful population, with its strong affinity for technology, is driving innovation in e-commerce and service delivery, reshaping market opportunities and encouraging equity investments in digital solutions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Zambia is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rate fluctuations. Lower interest rates typically enhance access to capital, encouraging investments in diverse sectors, including agriculture and technology. As the Bank of Zambia adjusts rates to control inflation and stimulate growth, the resulting economic environment can bolster investor confidence. Furthermore, global economic trends, such as commodity price volatility and trade dynamics, impact Zambia’s fiscal health, influencing private equity flows. A stable national economy, coupled with supportive fiscal policies, can further attract equity investments by mitigating risks associated with infrastructure deficits and market volatility.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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