Real Estate - Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

The Real Estate market market in Uzbekistan is expected to reach a value of US$943.30bn in 2024.
The dominant segment within this market is Residential Real Estate, which is projected to have a market volume of US$839.00bn in the same year.
This segment is anticipated to grow at an annual rate of 10.75% between 2024 and 2028, resulting in a market volume of US$1,419.00bn by 2028.
When compared globally, China is expected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market market, with a projected value of US$135.70tn in 2024.
Uzbekistan's real estate market is experiencing a surge in foreign investment, driven by favorable government policies and a growing economy.

Key regions: United States, China, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom

Market

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Analyst Opinion

The Real Estate market in Uzbekistan is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Uzbekistan are increasingly interested in investing in real estate, both for residential and commercial purposes. The demand for housing is driven by a growing population and an expanding middle class, who are looking for affordable and comfortable homes. In addition, there is a rising demand for commercial properties, such as office spaces and retail outlets, as the country attracts more foreign investment and businesses.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the real estate market in Uzbekistan is the increasing construction of modern residential complexes. These complexes offer a range of amenities and services, including gyms, swimming pools, and shopping centers, which are attractive to potential buyers. In addition, there is a growing trend of mixed-use developments, where residential and commercial properties are integrated into a single project. This trend reflects the changing lifestyle preferences of customers, who want convenience and accessibility to various facilities. Another trend in the market is the focus on sustainable and energy-efficient buildings. Developers are incorporating green building practices and technologies to reduce energy consumption and minimize the environmental impact of buildings. This trend is driven by both customer demand for environmentally-friendly properties and government regulations promoting sustainable development.

Local special circumstances: The real estate market in Uzbekistan is influenced by several local factors. One of the key factors is the government's focus on urban development and infrastructure improvement. The government has implemented various initiatives to attract investment in the real estate sector, such as tax incentives and streamlined administrative procedures. These measures have created a favorable business environment for developers and investors, leading to increased construction activities and market growth. Another special circumstance is the availability of affordable land for development. Uzbekistan has a large amount of undeveloped land, which provides opportunities for new real estate projects. This availability of land, combined with the government's support for the sector, has attracted both domestic and foreign investors to the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth and development of the real estate market in Uzbekistan are supported by several macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced stable economic growth in recent years, driven by diversification efforts and structural reforms. This economic growth has increased disposable incomes and purchasing power, leading to higher demand for real estate. Furthermore, the government's focus on attracting foreign investment has contributed to the development of the real estate market. Foreign investors bring capital, expertise, and technology, which help boost the construction sector and create employment opportunities. The government's commitment to economic reforms and improving the business environment has also enhanced investor confidence in the market. In conclusion, the Real Estate market in Uzbekistan is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for modern and sustainable properties, local special circumstances such as government support and availability of land, and underlying macroeconomic factors including stable economic growth and efforts to attract foreign investment. These factors are driving construction activities and creating opportunities for investors and developers in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of residential and commercial real estate, average real estate value, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data from international organizations and industry associations. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.