Private Equity - Uzbekistan | Statista Market Forecast

The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.79m in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 12.14% resulting in a projected total amount of US$5.37m by 2025.
The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$2.14m in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 2.28 by 2025.

Definition:

Private equity involves partnerships that buy, manage, and eventually sell companies. These firms manage funds for institutional and accredited investors, who commit significant capital for extended periods. Private equity funds can acquire entire private or public companies or participate in buyouts with other investors, but they typically avoid holding stakes in publicly traded companies. The Private Equity market encompasses a broad range of deal types that involve acquiring equity ownership in private companies. This market typically includes leveraged buyouts (LBOs), growth capital, Carve-outs, and other forms of equity investments that target mature businesses with the potential for operational improvements and value creation. The market presented here does not include Venture Capital investments. While both Private Equity and Venture Capital involve equity stakes in companies, Venture Capital specifically focuses on high-growth potential startups, while private equity firms invest in established companies with the aim of increasing the value of these companies before selling their investment after several years.

Additional information:

The market contains the following KPIs: the deal value, the number of deals, the average deal size as well as the assets under management (AUM). Key players in this market are companies such as Blackstone, The Carlyle Group, KKR, Goldman Sachs, General Atlantic, and Warburg Pincus.

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Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs)
Growth Capital
Carve-Outs
Distressed Buyouts
Secondary Buyouts

Venture Capital
Venture Debt
Traditional bank loans
Digital capital raising

The Private Equity market in Uzbekistan has shown minimal decline, influenced by factors such as limited market maturity, cautious investor sentiment, and evolving regulatory frameworks that impact investment opportunities and growth potential.

Customer preferences: In Uzbekistan, there is a notable trend toward increased investment in technology-driven startups, as young entrepreneurs leverage digital platforms to meet the needs of a more tech-savvy consumer base. The growing middle class is driving demand for e-commerce, fintech, and digital services, prompting private equity firms to focus on these sectors. Additionally, as urbanization accelerates, preferences for modern retail experiences and online shopping are reshaping the investment landscape, encouraging private equity to explore innovative solutions tailored to a youthful population.

Trends in the market: In Uzbekistan, the Private Equity market is increasingly directing capital towards technology-driven startups, particularly in e-commerce and fintech. This trend is fueled by a burgeoning middle class seeking innovative digital solutions and modern retail experiences. The rapid urbanization is reshaping consumer behaviors, leading to a surge in demand for seamless online shopping and payment options. As private equity firms adapt to these shifts, their investments are not only fostering entrepreneurial talent but also driving economic growth, positioning stakeholders for competitive advantages in a transforming marketplace.

Local special circumstances: In Uzbekistan, the Private Equity market is shaped by unique cultural, regulatory, and geographical factors that set it apart from other regions. The country’s rich history of trade along the Silk Road fosters a strong entrepreneurial spirit, especially in technology sectors. Additionally, ongoing regulatory reforms aimed at improving the business environment are attracting foreign investment. Geographically, Uzbekistan’s central location in Central Asia facilitates access to neighboring markets, enhancing the potential for e-commerce and fintech ventures. This combination of cultural resilience, regulatory support, and geographic advantage is driving vibrant market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Private Equity market in Uzbekistan is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates, and overall national economic health. Lower interest rates can stimulate investment by making borrowing more affordable for businesses, enhancing liquidity and encouraging private equity firms to engage in more deals. Conversely, rising interest rates may lead to higher costs of capital, potentially cooling market activity. Additionally, improved fiscal policies and ongoing efforts to stabilize the economy foster a conducive environment for investment. As Uzbekistan continues to advance its reforms, the interplay of these economic indicators is essential for driving robust private equity market performance.

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

In the last decades, private equity has emerged as a dominant force in global finance, reshaping industries and driving economic growth worldwide. After the peak experienced in 2021, however, private equity activity slowed down in 2022 and 2023, due to multiple factors such as inflationary headwinds, rising interest rates, geopolitical unrest and general uncertainty. With an estimated value of nearly four trillion dollars, private equity dry capital - a term commonly used in the private equity world to refer to committed, but unallocated capital - reached unprecedented heights in 2023. A high level of this capital means that private equity firms have unspent cash reserves. Among the most influential private equity firms worldwide, the Blackstone Group is the largest in terms of funds raised.