Residential Real Estate - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • The Residential Real Estate market market in Southern Africa is forecasted to achieve a value of US$0.92tn in 2024.
  • This market is expected to experience an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.64%, leading to a market volume of US$1.10tn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China is projected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate sector, reaching US$112.9tn in 2024.
  • In the residential real estate market of Southern Africa, the demand for luxury beachfront properties in Cape Town is on the rise.

Key regions: Europe, Brazil, France, Asia, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly looking for properties that offer a combination of affordability, modern amenities, and a sense of security. They are also seeking properties that are located in close proximity to urban centers and transportation hubs, as well as those that offer access to recreational facilities and green spaces. Additionally, there is a growing demand for sustainable and energy-efficient homes, as customers are becoming more conscious of their environmental impact.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Residential Real Estate market in Southern Africa is the increasing popularity of gated communities and housing estates. These developments offer a range of amenities and services, such as security, recreational facilities, and maintenance services, which appeal to customers looking for a convenient and secure lifestyle. Another trend is the rise of mixed-use developments, which combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces in a single location. These developments cater to customers who value convenience and prefer to live, work, and shop in close proximity.

Local special circumstances:
Southern Africa is a region with a diverse range of countries, each with its own unique characteristics and challenges. For example, South Africa's Residential Real Estate market is influenced by factors such as a growing middle class, urbanization, and a demand for affordable housing. In contrast, countries like Namibia and Botswana have smaller populations and a focus on luxury properties, catering to a niche market. Additionally, political stability, infrastructure development, and access to financing are important considerations in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Residential Real Estate market in Southern Africa is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. Economic growth, population growth, and urbanization are key drivers of demand for residential properties. Additionally, interest rates, inflation, and government policies on housing and property ownership play a significant role in shaping the market. The availability of financing options and the stability of the banking sector are also important factors that impact the affordability and accessibility of residential properties in the region. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate market in Southern Africa is experiencing growth and development driven by customer preferences for affordability, modern amenities, and security. The market is characterized by trends such as the popularity of gated communities and mixed-use developments. Local special circumstances, such as the diverse characteristics of each country in the region, also influence the market. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth, population growth, and government policies, further shape the market dynamics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average value of residential real estate, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Value
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Transaction Value
  • Revenue
  • Household Type
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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