Residential Real Estate Leases - Tajikistan

In Tajikistan, the projected revenue of the Residential Real Estate Leases market market is estimated to reach US$2.72bn in 2024.
House Leases is the dominant segment in this market, with a projected market volume of US$2.33bn in 2024.
Looking ahead, the revenue is expected to demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 8.89%, leading to a market volume of US$4.16bn by 2029.
Despite a growing demand for residential real estate leases in Tajikistan, the lack of affordable housing options remains a major challenge.

Definition:

The residential real estate leases market refers to the market where landlords and tenants enter into agreements for the rental of residential properties, such as apartments, houses, and condominiums. The lease outlines the terms of the rental agreement, including the duration of the lease, the amount of rent to be paid, and the responsibilities of both the landlord and the tenant. The lease may also include provisions for security deposits, maintenance and repair obligations, and renewal options.

Structure:

The residential real estate leases market comprises the lease of houses and apartments.

Additional information:

The residential real estate leases market includes the following KPIs: the revenue generated by real estate leases, the number of real estate leases, the average revenue per real estate lease, the share of dwelling type of tenants, and the average room per tenant. The dwelling type shares comprise the shares of the renter population that lives in houses and apartments.

Residential house and apartment leases

Real estate transactions
Commercial real estate
Accommodation services, such as Airbnb

The Residential Real Estate Leases market in Tajikistan has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards renting rather than buying properties, leading to an increase in demand for residential leases. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including changing demographic patterns, economic considerations, and cultural attitudes towards homeownership.

Customer preferences: One of the main reasons for the growth in the Residential Real Estate Leases market in Tajikistan is the changing preferences of customers. Many people, especially younger generations, are opting to rent rather than buy properties. This shift can be attributed to the flexibility and affordability offered by renting. Renting allows individuals to have more mobility and flexibility in their living arrangements, which is particularly appealing for young professionals and students who may need to relocate frequently.

Trends in the market: The trend of renting rather than buying properties is not unique to Tajikistan; it is a global phenomenon. In many countries worldwide, including Tajikistan, the cost of homeownership has become increasingly unaffordable for many individuals. High property prices, coupled with stricter lending regulations and rising interest rates, have made it difficult for people to enter the housing market. As a result, the demand for rental properties has increased.

Local special circumstances: In Tajikistan, there are several local special circumstances that have contributed to the growth of the Residential Real Estate Leases market. One such circumstance is the high rate of urbanization in the country. As more people move from rural areas to cities in search of better economic opportunities, the demand for rental properties in urban areas has increased significantly. Another factor contributing to the growth of the market is the large number of expatriates and foreign workers in Tajikistan. These individuals often prefer to rent rather than buy properties, as they may only be in the country for a limited period. The presence of a significant expatriate population has created a strong demand for rental properties, particularly in major cities like Dushanbe.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Several underlying macroeconomic factors have also influenced the growth of the Residential Real Estate Leases market in Tajikistan. The country has experienced stable economic growth in recent years, which has led to an increase in disposable income levels. As a result, more people are able to afford rental properties, further driving demand in the market. Additionally, the government has implemented several initiatives to promote the development of the real estate sector, including tax incentives and streamlined regulations. These measures have attracted both domestic and foreign investors, leading to increased supply of rental properties. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate Leases market in Tajikistan is developing rapidly due to changing customer preferences, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards renting rather than buying properties is a global trend that is also evident in Tajikistan. The high rate of urbanization, the presence of a significant expatriate population, and stable economic growth have all contributed to the growth of the market. With favorable government initiatives and increasing disposable income levels, the Residential Real Estate Leases market in Tajikistan is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average revenue of residential apartment leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

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Residential Real Estate Leases - Tajikistan

Volume

Analyst Opinion

Revenue

Affordability

Real Estate Type

Living Space

Methodology

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