Stocks - Tajikistan

Tajikistan

The market capitalization in the Stock market is projected to reach US$21.71bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 4.74% resulting in a projected total amount of US$22.74bn by 2025.
The market volume in the Stock market amounts to US$60.89m in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest market capitalization is reached in the United States (US$48,750.0bn in 2024).
In the Stock market, the number of trades is expected to amount to US$0.37m by 2025.

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The stock market plays a crucial role in the functioning of financial markets that facilitates capital formation, investment, and economic growth by allowing companies to raise funds and investors to buy and sell ownership stakes.
The stock market is likely to remain volatile as investors weigh the competing forces of strong corporate earnings and economic growth against the risks of inflation, geopolitical tensions, and elevated valuations.
It is indisputable that the stock market is advancing significantly due to rapid technological developments. The ability for investors to engage in cross-border transactions has notably increased trading volumes in recent days. Additionally, there has been a substantial rise in the participation of individual investors in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on market capitalization/ market volume/ number of trades/ number of listed domestic companies data within the stock market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data from Company Insights, World Bank, the Federation of Exchanges as well as stock exchanges, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer price index (CPI), total investment (% of GDP), trade (% of GDP), household income, internet penetration, deposit interest rate, lending interest rate, central bank interest rate, unemployment rate, internet penetration and online banking penetration. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In the market, we use both the HOLT-damped Trend method and the ARIMA method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer price index (CPI), and central bank interest rate.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war is considered at a country-specific level.