Stocks - Tajikistan | Statista Market Forecast

In Tajikistan, the market capitalization in the Stock market is projected to reach US$21.71bn in 2024.
It is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 4.74%, which will result in a projected total amount of US$22.74bn by 2025.
The market volume in the Stock market in Tajikistan is estimated to be US$60.89m in 2024.
When viewed from a global comparison perspective, it is evident that the highest market capitalization is achieved the United States, where it is projected to be US$48.8tn in 2024.
In the Stock market of Tajikistan, the number of trades is expected to reach US$372.30k by 2025.
Tajikistan's stock market is experiencing a gradual increase in investor interest, driven by improving economic conditions and government reforms aimed at enhancing transparency.

Definition:

The stock market is a crucial element of the global financial system, enabling publicly traded companies to raise capital by issuing shares. These shares are bought and sold either through formal exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC) markets, providing investors with opportunities to trade equity securities.

Structure:

The market contains the following KPIs: the market capitalization, the Buffett indicator, the market volume, the number of trades, the number of listed domestic companies, the distribution of market capitalization. Traded bonds, Traded ETFs, and countries without their domestic stock exchanges are out-of-scope in the stock market

Additional information:

Key players in this market are companies such as New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nasdaq, Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), and London Stock Exchange (LSE).

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Stock exchanges
Over-the-counter market

Traded Bonds
Traded ETFs
Countries without a domestic stock exchange

The stock market plays a crucial role in the functioning of financial markets that facilitates capital formation, investment, and economic growth by allowing companies to raise funds and investors to buy and sell ownership stakes.
The stock market is likely to remain volatile as investors weigh the competing forces of strong corporate earnings and economic growth against the risks of inflation, geopolitical tensions, and elevated valuations.
It is indisputable that the stock market is advancing significantly due to rapid technological developments. The ability for investors to engage in cross-border transactions has notably increased trading volumes in recent days. Additionally, there has been a substantial rise in the participation of individual investors in the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on market capitalization/ market volume/ number of trades/ number of listed domestic companies data within the stock market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data from Company Insights, World Bank, the Federation of Exchanges as well as stock exchanges, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer price index (CPI), total investment (% of GDP), trade (% of GDP), household income, internet penetration, deposit interest rate, lending interest rate, central bank interest rate, unemployment rate, internet penetration and online banking penetration. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In the market, we use both the HOLT-damped Trend method and the ARIMA method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer price index (CPI), and central bank interest rate. The scenario analysis is based on a Monte Carlo simulation approach generating a range of possible outcomes by creating random variations in forecasted data points, based on assumptions about potential fluctuations in future values. By running numerous simulated scenarios, the model provides an estimated distribution of results, allowing for an analysis of likely ranges and confidence intervals around the forecast.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war is considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

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