Commercial Real Estate - Tanzania

The Commercial Real Estate market market in Tanzania is projected to reach a value of US$59.15bn in 2024.
The market is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 6.40%, resulting in a market volume of US$80.65bn by 2029.
In global comparison, the United States will generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with US$25.3tn in 2024.
Tanzania's commercial real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand due to the country's growing economy and increased foreign investment.

Definition:

Commercial real estate can be defined as properties that are used for business purposes, such as office buildings, retail spaces, warehouses, and industrial properties.

Additional information:

The commercial real estate market contains the value of commercial properties as a key performance indicator. This is the worth of all office buildings, retail spaces warehouses, and industrial properties for the timeline of our data coverage.

Office buildings
Retail spaces
Warehouses
Industrial properties

Residential real estate
Publicly owned buildings used by the local government
Buildings used for public health care services

The Commercial Real Estate market in Tanzania is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences in the Tanzanian Commercial Real Estate market are shifting towards modern and well-equipped office spaces and retail centers. This is driven by the increasing demand for high-quality commercial spaces from both local and international businesses. Additionally, there is a growing preference for mixed-use developments that combine commercial, residential, and leisure facilities, creating vibrant and dynamic spaces for both work and leisure. One of the key trends in the Tanzanian Commercial Real Estate market is the rise of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the sector. The government's efforts to attract foreign investors, coupled with a favorable business environment and stable economic growth, have resulted in an influx of international companies seeking to establish a presence in the country. This has led to increased demand for commercial spaces, particularly in major cities like Dar es Salaam and Arusha. Another trend in the market is the development of specialized commercial real estate projects. With the growth of industries such as tourism, manufacturing, and telecommunications, there is a need for purpose-built facilities to cater to the specific requirements of these sectors. This has led to the construction of hotels, industrial parks, and data centers, among other specialized commercial properties. Local special circumstances in the Tanzanian Commercial Real Estate market include the government's focus on infrastructure development. The government has invested heavily in improving transportation networks, including roads, ports, and airports, which has enhanced connectivity and accessibility to commercial areas. This has further fueled the demand for commercial real estate, as businesses seek to take advantage of the improved infrastructure. Underlying macroeconomic factors driving the development of the Commercial Real Estate market in Tanzania include a stable economic growth rate, favorable investment climate, and a growing middle class. The country's GDP growth has been consistently strong, and this has translated into increased business activity and demand for commercial spaces. Additionally, the government's efforts to improve ease of doing business and attract foreign investment have created a conducive environment for commercial real estate development. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in Tanzania is experiencing significant growth and development, driven by changing customer preferences, increasing foreign direct investment, specialized commercial projects, government infrastructure development initiatives, and favorable macroeconomic factors. This presents opportunities for investors and developers to capitalize on the growing demand for modern and well-equipped commercial spaces in the country.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

After a challenging period during the coronavirus pandemic, the European commercial real estate sector now faces additional pressures, including inflation, record-high interest rates, and sluggish economic growth. In 2022, these challenges were evident through contracting investment volumes in the two largest markets—the United Kingdom and Germany. Although the shifting economic landscape has impacted all commercial real estate subsectors, industrial and logistics—a property type that demonstrated incredible resilience during the pandemic—continues to be the most popular investment class. The performance of the sector is closely tied to the state of the economy, explaining why cities with flourishing capital markets garner the most interest from investors. In 2023, investors identified London, Paris, and Madrid as the three most attractive markets.

Growing demand for industrial and logistic real estate is prominent in Europe, driven by the increase in online retail sales rather than in-store. All the Nordic countries saw steady growth in their e-commerce sales during the past fifteen years and more, and the growth is expected to continue. Investments in the industrial and logistic real estate industry have generally been at a higher level during the last few years. The highest investment value among European countries in the first half of 2021 was in the United Kingdom, while Sweden topped the list among the Nordic countries, and was fifth in terms of industrial and logistics investment in real estate in Europe that year.