Commercial Real Estate - Rwanda | Statista Market Forecast

The Commercial Real Estate market market in Rwanda is predicted to reach a value of US$10.06bn by 2024.
It is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate of 2.87% (CAGR 2024-2029), leading to a market volume of US$11.59bn by 2029.
In terms of global comparison, the United States is projected to generate the highest Real Estate value, amounting to US$25.3tn in 2024.
Rwanda's commercial real estate market is witnessing a surge in demand due to the country's stable political climate and growing economy.

Definition:

Commercial real estate can be defined as properties that are used for business purposes, such as office buildings, retail spaces, warehouses, and industrial properties.

Additional information:

The commercial real estate market contains the value of commercial properties as a key performance indicator. This is the worth of all office buildings, retail spaces warehouses, and industrial properties for the timeline of our data coverage.

Office buildings
Retail spaces
Warehouses
Industrial properties

Residential real estate
Publicly owned buildings used by the local government
Buildings used for public health care services

The Commercial Real Estate market in Rwanda is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences: Customers in Rwanda are increasingly seeking modern and well-designed commercial spaces that cater to their specific needs. They are looking for properties that offer a range of amenities and services, such as parking facilities, security systems, and convenient access to transportation networks. Additionally, customers are placing a strong emphasis on sustainability and energy efficiency, seeking properties that are environmentally friendly.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Commercial Real Estate market in Rwanda is the increasing demand for office spaces. With the country's growing economy and the rise of various industries, businesses are expanding and requiring larger office spaces to accommodate their operations. This trend is particularly evident in Kigali, the capital city, where many multinational companies and organizations have established their headquarters. Another trend is the development of retail spaces. As the middle class in Rwanda continues to grow, there is an increasing demand for modern shopping malls and retail outlets. This trend is driven by changing consumer preferences and the desire for a more convenient and enjoyable shopping experience. Furthermore, the hospitality sector is experiencing significant growth in Rwanda. The country has seen a rise in tourism, with an increasing number of international visitors coming to explore its natural beauty and cultural heritage. This has led to a demand for hotels and resorts, as well as conference and event spaces.

Local special circumstances: One of the unique aspects of the Commercial Real Estate market in Rwanda is the government's focus on urban development and infrastructure. The government has implemented various initiatives to attract foreign investment and promote economic growth, including the creation of special economic zones and the improvement of transportation networks. These efforts have created a favorable environment for the development of commercial properties.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth and development of the Commercial Real Estate market in Rwanda can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Firstly, the country has experienced stable economic growth in recent years, with a focus on diversifying its economy and attracting foreign investment. This has resulted in increased business activity and a need for commercial spaces. Additionally, Rwanda has implemented various policies and reforms to improve the ease of doing business in the country. This has attracted both domestic and international investors, leading to increased demand for commercial properties. Furthermore, the government's commitment to sustainable development and environmental conservation has created opportunities for the development of environmentally friendly commercial properties. This aligns with global trends towards sustainability and attracts businesses that prioritize corporate social responsibility. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in Rwanda is experiencing significant growth and development. Customer preferences for modern and well-designed commercial spaces, along with the trends of increasing demand for office spaces, retail spaces, and hospitality properties, are driving this growth. The government's focus on urban development and infrastructure, along with stable economic growth and favorable business policies, are the underlying macroeconomic factors contributing to the development of the market.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

After a challenging period during the coronavirus pandemic, the European commercial real estate sector now faces additional pressures, including inflation, record-high interest rates, and sluggish economic growth. In 2022, these challenges were evident through contracting investment volumes in the two largest markets—the United Kingdom and Germany. Although the shifting economic landscape has impacted all commercial real estate subsectors, industrial and logistics—a property type that demonstrated incredible resilience during the pandemic—continues to be the most popular investment class. The performance of the sector is closely tied to the state of the economy, explaining why cities with flourishing capital markets garner the most interest from investors. In 2023, investors identified London, Paris, and Madrid as the three most attractive markets.

Growing demand for industrial and logistic real estate is prominent in Europe, driven by the increase in online retail sales rather than in-store. All the Nordic countries saw steady growth in their e-commerce sales during the past fifteen years and more, and the growth is expected to continue. Investments in the industrial and logistic real estate industry have generally been at a higher level during the last few years. The highest investment value among European countries in the first half of 2021 was in the United Kingdom, while Sweden topped the list among the Nordic countries, and was fifth in terms of industrial and logistics investment in real estate in Europe that year.