Private Equity - Rwanda

  • Rwanda
  • In Rwanda, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$3.66m in 2024.
  • It is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 11.20%, resulting in a projected total amount of US$4.07m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in Rwanda's Private Equity market amounts to US$2.46m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective, it has been shown that the highest deal value is reached the the United States, with an impressive US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • In Rwanda's Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 1.93 by 2025.
  • Rwanda's burgeoning Private Equity landscape is increasingly attracting global investors, driven by stable governance and a commitment to economic innovation.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Rwanda has seen minimal decline, influenced by factors such as evolving investment opportunities, ongoing reforms in the financial sector, and a focus on economic diversification, which together support a more resilient investment landscape.

Customer preferences:
In Rwanda, there is a notable shift towards sustainable and socially responsible investments as consumers become more aware of environmental and social issues. This trend is driving private equity firms to prioritize investments in green technologies and companies that promote social equity. Additionally, the growing urban middle class is increasing demand for innovative financial products and services, steering investments towards fintech solutions that enhance accessibility and financial literacy. This evolving landscape reflects a commitment to both economic growth and societal impact.

Trends in the market:
In Rwanda, the Private Equity Market is experiencing a surge in interest towards impact investing, particularly in sectors focused on renewable energy and sustainable agriculture. This shift is fueled by both local and international investors seeking opportunities that align with global sustainability goals. Furthermore, there's an increasing emphasis on gender equity and social inclusion, prompting firms to invest in businesses led by women and those promoting social change. The rise of fintech startups is also notable, as they cater to a tech-savvy urban population, enhancing financial literacy and access among underserved communities. These trends not only signify a transformation in investment strategies but also pave the way for a more inclusive economic future in Rwanda.

Local special circumstances:
In Rwanda, the Private Equity Market is uniquely shaped by a combination of geographical factors, cultural dynamics, and regulatory frameworks. The country's mountainous terrain and rural population create a demand for innovative solutions in renewable energy, particularly off-grid solar systems. Culturally, a strong emphasis on community welfare encourages investments in agriculture and social enterprises, fostering local partnerships. Additionally, the Rwandan government actively supports foreign investment through streamlined regulations, enhancing appeal to impact-focused investors. These elements collectively drive a distinctive investment landscape, promoting sustainable growth and inclusivity.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity Market in Rwanda is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rates. Favorable monetary policies, including low interest rates, enhance access to capital for private equity funds, encouraging investments in sectors like renewable energy and agriculture. Conversely, rising interest rates can deter investments, as borrowing costs increase, impacting deal flows. Overall, a stable national economic environment, reflected in GDP growth and inflation rates, further bolsters investor confidence, facilitating entry into long-term ventures. Additionally, global economic trends, such as commodity prices and foreign direct investment, play a crucial role in shaping the dynamics of Rwanda's private equity landscape.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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