Private Equity - CIS

  • CIS
  • In the CIS region, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$48.08m in 2024.
  • It is anticipated that this market will exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 14.68%, leading to a projected total amount of US$55.14m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in in the CIS is estimated to be US$1.49m in 2024.
  • Globally, it is evident that the highest deal value in the Private Equity market is found the the United States, amounting to US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, the number of deals in the Private Equity market in the CIS is expected to reach 34.69 by 2025.
  • In the CIS region, Private Equity firms are increasingly focusing on technology-driven investments, reflecting a shift towards innovation and digital transformation in emerging markets.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in the CIS region is witnessing gradual growth, influenced by factors like economic stability, investor confidence, and strategic partnerships. However, minimal declines stem from geopolitical tensions and regulatory challenges that impact deal-making activities.

Customer preferences:
Investors in the Private Equity market within the CIS region are increasingly favoring sustainable and socially responsible investments, reflecting a wider shift towards environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of climate change and social issues among both consumers and investors. Furthermore, demographic shifts, particularly the rise of younger, tech-savvy investors, are prompting a greater emphasis on innovative sectors such as technology and green energy, reshaping the investment landscape in the region.

Trends in the market:
In the CIS region, the Private Equity market is increasingly prioritizing sustainable investments, as interest in ESG criteria grows among investors. This shift is evidenced by a surge in funds directed towards green technologies and socially responsible enterprises. Concurrently, younger investors are driving a demand for innovation, particularly in sectors like renewable energy and tech startups. This evolving landscape is significant, as it not only redefines investment strategies but also encourages businesses to adopt sustainable practices, enhancing long-term value and resilience for industry stakeholders.

Local special circumstances:
In the CIS region, the Private Equity market is shaped by a distinct blend of historical, economic, and regulatory factors. The legacy of post-Soviet economic structures fosters a unique investment landscape, where emerging markets are characterized by rapid urbanization and a transition towards market economies. Additionally, local cultural attitudes towards entrepreneurship and innovation are evolving, particularly among younger generations who prioritize sustainability. Regulatory reforms aimed at enhancing transparency and investor protection further influence market dynamics, making the region increasingly attractive for sustainable investments and innovative startups.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in the CIS region is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates, which affect capital availability and investment costs. Lower interest rates generally enhance access to financing, incentivizing private equity firms to invest in emerging sectors. Conversely, rising rates can dampen investment enthusiasm by increasing borrowing costs and reducing the attractiveness of leveraged buyouts. Additionally, economic health indicators, such as GDP growth and inflation, play vital roles in shaping investor sentiment, while fiscal policies aimed at attracting foreign investment further bolster the market's appeal.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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