Insurances - Eastern Africa

  • Eastern Africa
  • The Insurances market in Eastern Africa is projected to reach a gross written premium of US$27.53bn in 2024.
  • Life insurances dominate the market with a projected market volume of US$13.94bn in 2024.
  • The average spending per capita in the Insurances market is expected to amount to US$59.98 in 2024.
  • Comparing globally, the United States is expected to have the highest nominal value, reaching US$4,642.0bn in 2024.
  • The gross written premium is anticipated to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 2.52%, resulting in a market volume of US$30.41bn by 2028.
  • In terms of gross written premium, the United States is projected to generate the highest amount globally, with US$4,642.0bn in 2024.
  • Eastern Africa's insurance market is experiencing a surge in demand for microinsurance products to cater to the needs of low-income individuals.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Insurances market in Eastern Africa is experiencing significant growth and development, driven by various factors shaping the industry in the region.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Eastern Africa are increasingly seeking insurance products that provide comprehensive coverage at affordable prices. There is a growing demand for insurance solutions that cater to specific needs, such as health insurance, property insurance, and motor vehicle insurance. Additionally, customers are showing a preference for insurance companies that offer convenient digital platforms for policy management and claims processing.

Trends in the market:
In Kenya, there is a noticeable trend towards microinsurance products tailored to low-income earners, providing them with access to essential insurance coverage. Tanzania is seeing a rise in the uptake of agricultural insurance products, as farmers seek protection against unpredictable weather patterns and crop failures. Uganda, on the other hand, is witnessing a surge in the demand for life insurance policies, driven by a growing awareness of the importance of financial planning and security.

Local special circumstances:
In Ethiopia, the insurance market is heavily regulated by the government, with strict requirements for foreign insurers looking to enter the market. This has created a unique landscape where local insurance companies dominate the industry, offering a limited range of products compared to other countries in the region. In Rwanda, the government has been actively promoting insurance penetration through various initiatives, leading to an increase in the number of people covered by insurance policies.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The economic growth and stability in countries like Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda have contributed to the expansion of the insurance market in Eastern Africa. As disposable incomes rise and the middle class expands, more individuals and businesses are able to afford insurance coverage. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at enhancing transparency and consumer protection have helped build trust in the insurance sector, further driving its growth in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on gross written premium, gross written premium per capita, gross claim payments, loss ratio, and distribution channels.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market layer. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use industry associations, national statistic offices, and international organizations, such as OECD. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as insurance consumer spending, gross domestic product, insurance - consumer price index (CPI), population growth. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing and HOLT-linear. The main drivers are insurance consumer spending and insurance - consumer price index (CPI).

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Gross Written Premium
  • Gross Claim Payments
  • Loss Ratio
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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