Precious Metal Derivatives - ASEAN

  • ASEAN
  • The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach US$264.20bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.26% resulting in a projected total amount of US$310.20bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to US$0.02 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$11,920.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 15.70m by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Precious Metal Derivatives market in ASEAN is experiencing a notable uptrend in recent years, driven by various factors influencing customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Investors in the ASEAN region are increasingly turning to Precious Metal Derivatives as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The appeal of these derivatives lies in their ability to provide exposure to the price movements of precious metals without the need for physical ownership.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Precious Metal Derivatives market in ASEAN is the growing popularity of gold and silver contracts. Gold, in particular, is highly sought after by investors as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. The demand for silver contracts is also on the rise due to the metal's dual role as a precious metal and an industrial commodity.

Local special circumstances:
In the ASEAN region, countries like Singapore and Malaysia are emerging as hubs for Precious Metal Derivatives trading. These countries have well-established financial markets, regulatory frameworks, and infrastructure that support the growth of derivative products. Additionally, the increasing interest from retail investors in these countries is fueling the demand for Precious Metal Derivatives.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Precious Metal Derivatives market in ASEAN is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and currency movements. Low interest rates and concerns about inflation can drive investors towards precious metals as a store of value. Currency depreciation can also lead investors to seek refuge in Precious Metal Derivatives as a way to protect their wealth. Overall, the Precious Metal Derivatives market in ASEAN is evolving rapidly, driven by changing customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As investors continue to seek ways to manage risk and enhance returns, Precious Metal Derivatives are likely to play a significant role in the region's financial markets.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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