Energy Product Derivatives - ASEAN

  • ASEAN
  • The nominal value in the Energy Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$741.40bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.34% resulting in a projected total amount of US$873.90bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Energy Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.01 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$26,910.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Energy Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 79.65m by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Energy Product Derivatives market in ASEAN is experiencing a surge in interest and activity from investors and traders.

Customer preferences:
Investors in the ASEAN region are increasingly turning to Energy Product Derivatives as a way to diversify their portfolios and hedge against volatility in the energy markets. Derivatives offer a way to speculate on price movements without the need to own physical assets, making them an attractive option for those looking to capitalize on market fluctuations.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand, there is a growing trend of institutional investors and hedge funds entering the Energy Product Derivatives market. These sophisticated market participants bring with them a higher level of liquidity and trading volume, which can help drive price discovery and market efficiency. Additionally, technological advancements have made it easier for retail investors to access and trade Energy Product Derivatives, leading to increased retail participation in the market.

Local special circumstances:
Each country in the ASEAN region has its own unique set of circumstances that influence the Energy Product Derivatives market. For example, Singapore's position as a global financial hub and its well-developed regulatory framework make it an attractive destination for derivatives trading. In Malaysia, the government's focus on sustainable energy sources and its efforts to promote renewable energy projects can impact the demand for energy derivatives. Meanwhile, Thailand's growing energy consumption and the volatility of global oil prices play a significant role in shaping the Energy Product Derivatives market in the country.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Macroeconomic factors such as geopolitical events, global energy demand, and regulatory changes can have a significant impact on the Energy Product Derivatives market in ASEAN. For instance, tensions in the Middle East can lead to fluctuations in oil prices, which in turn affect the value of energy derivatives. Similarly, policies aimed at promoting clean energy or reducing carbon emissions can drive demand for derivatives linked to renewable energy sources. Overall, the Energy Product Derivatives market in ASEAN is dynamic and influenced by a wide range of factors that shape its growth and development.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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