Agricultural Product Derivatives - Ukraine

Ukraine

The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$39.66bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.33% resulting in a projected total amount of US$51.41bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.35 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,320.00bn in 2024).
In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 124.10k by 2029.

Market

Region

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Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Ukraine has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences in Ukraine are shifting towards more sophisticated financial instruments, including Agricultural Product Derivatives, as investors seek to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility.

Trends in the market show a growing interest from both institutional investors and individual traders in Agricultural Product Derivatives, driven by the potential for higher returns compared to traditional investment options. Local special circumstances, such as Ukraine's position as a major agricultural producer in Europe, play a crucial role in the development of the Agricultural Product Derivatives market. The country's abundance of agricultural commodities creates a strong foundation for derivative products based on these assets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as fluctuations in global commodity prices and geopolitical tensions impacting agricultural markets, also contribute to the growth of Agricultural Product Derivatives in Ukraine. Investors are increasingly turning to derivatives as a way to manage risk and capitalize on market opportunities in the agricultural sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.