Agricultural Product Derivatives - Tajikistan

Tajikistan

The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$72.07m in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.88% resulting in a projected total amount of US$87.20m by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.00 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,320.00bn in 2024).
In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 72.53k by 2029.

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Tajikistan is experiencing a notable shift in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Tajikistan are increasingly turning to Agricultural Product Derivatives as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. This trend is in line with the global movement towards financial instruments that offer risk management and investment opportunities.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Tajikistan is the growing interest from institutional investors, including pension funds and insurance companies. This influx of institutional capital is driving liquidity in the market and expanding the range of available derivatives products tailored to the needs of different investor segments.

Local special circumstances: Tajikistan's agricultural sector plays a crucial role in the economy, with a significant portion of the population engaged in farming activities. As a result, there is a strong demand for Agricultural Product Derivatives that allow farmers and agribusinesses to manage price risks associated with fluctuations in commodity prices, weather conditions, and other factors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The development of the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Tajikistan is also influenced by broader macroeconomic factors such as government policies, trade agreements, and global commodity prices. As the country continues to integrate into regional and international markets, there is a growing need for risk management tools that can help market participants navigate uncertainties and seize opportunities in the agricultural sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.