Agricultural Product Derivatives - Nordics

  • Nordics
  • The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$379.20bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.09% resulting in a projected total amount of US$486.10bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.28 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,320.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 1.36m by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Nordics is experiencing a shift in customer preferences towards more sustainable and ethically sourced products.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the Nordics are increasingly seeking agricultural product derivatives that are aligned with their values of environmental sustainability and social responsibility. This trend is driving demand for derivatives linked to organic and ethically produced agricultural products, as consumers become more conscious of the impact of their choices on the environment and society.

Trends in the market:
In the Nordics, there is a growing trend towards the use of agricultural product derivatives as a tool for risk management in the volatile commodity markets. Market participants are increasingly turning to derivatives to hedge against price fluctuations and mitigate risks associated with factors such as weather conditions and global supply chain disruptions. This trend is fueling innovation in the agricultural derivatives market, with new products and strategies being developed to meet the evolving needs of investors and producers in the region.

Local special circumstances:
The Nordics region is known for its strong focus on sustainable agriculture and food production practices. This emphasis on sustainability is influencing the development of agricultural product derivatives in the region, with an increasing number of products being designed to support environmentally friendly farming methods and promote fair trade practices. Additionally, the Nordics' robust regulatory framework and transparent market infrastructure are contributing to the growth of the agricultural derivatives market by providing a secure and efficient trading environment for market participants.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The stability of the Nordics' economy and its strong agricultural sector are key macroeconomic factors driving the development of the agricultural product derivatives market in the region. With a well-established agricultural industry and a high level of technological advancement, the Nordics offer a fertile ground for the expansion of agricultural derivatives trading. Moreover, the region's reputation for quality and innovation in agriculture is attracting investors and market players looking to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the agricultural product derivatives market in the Nordics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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