Private Equity - Nordics

  • Nordics
  • In the Nordics, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$30.55bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 8.15%, resulting in a projected total amount of US$33.04bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in in the Nordics amounts to US$60.38m in 2024.
  • A global comparison indicates that the highest deal value is achieved in the United States, with US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals in the Nordics is expected to reach 0.61k by 2025.
  • In the Nordics, Private Equity firms are increasingly focusing on sustainable investments, reflecting the region's commitment to environmental, social, and governance principles.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in the Nordics is facing a mild decline, influenced by economic uncertainties, evolving regulatory landscapes, and heightened competition for quality assets, which collectively impact investment activity and growth potential in the region.

Customer preferences:
Investors in the Nordic Private Equity market are observing a notable shift towards sustainability-focused investments, as consumers increasingly prioritize environmental responsibility in their choices. This trend is fueled by a younger demographic that values ethical consumption and green innovations. Additionally, there is growing interest in technology-driven solutions that enhance efficiency and sustainability across various sectors. As lifestyle factors evolve, private equity firms are adapting by targeting portfolio companies that align with these emerging consumer preferences and societal values.

Trends in the market:
In the Nordic Private Equity market, there is a significant shift towards sustainability-focused investments, driven by a younger demographic that prioritizes environmental responsibility. Investors are increasingly targeting companies that integrate green technologies and ethical practices into their core operations. Additionally, there is a rising interest in innovative solutions that promote circular economy principles, enhancing resource efficiency across sectors. This trend not only reflects changing consumer preferences but also signifies a long-term commitment to sustainable growth, influencing investment strategies and competitive landscapes for industry stakeholders.

Local special circumstances:
In the Nordic Private Equity market, a strong emphasis on sustainability is shaped by unique local factors. The region's commitment to environmental stewardship is reflected in its robust regulatory frameworks, which prioritize green initiatives and incentivize sustainable business practices. Culturally, the Nordic countries possess a strong social conscience, influencing both investor preferences and corporate behaviors towards ethical operations. Furthermore, the region’s geographical characteristics encourage investments in renewable energy and sustainable resources, enhancing the appeal of circular economy ventures and driving innovation across industries.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Nordic Private Equity market is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, including central bank policies and prevailing interest rates. Low interest rates set by central banks in the region encourage more borrowing for investment, making leveraged buyouts and acquisitions more appealing to private equity firms. Additionally, a stable economic environment bolstered by sound fiscal policies enhances investor confidence, leading to increased capital inflows. However, rising concerns about inflation might prompt central banks to tighten monetary policy, which could dampen investment appetites and affect deal valuations, thus shaping market dynamics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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