Agricultural Product Derivatives - Mongolia

  • Mongolia
  • The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$3.50bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.20% resulting in a projected total amount of US$4.51bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.11 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,320.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 30.15k by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Mongolia reflects the country's growing interest in diversifying investment opportunities beyond traditional sectors.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Mongolia are increasingly looking into Agricultural Product Derivatives as a way to hedge against risks in the market and capitalize on the volatility of commodity prices. This financial tool allows them to speculate on price movements without owning the physical assets, offering flexibility and potentially higher returns.

Trends in the market:
The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Mongolia is witnessing a gradual but steady growth as more investors are becoming aware of the opportunities it presents. With the agriculture sector being a significant contributor to the country's economy, there is a natural interest in trading derivatives linked to agricultural products. This trend is also in line with the global movement towards alternative investments and risk management strategies.

Local special circumstances:
Mongolia's unique agricultural landscape, characterized by livestock farming and crop cultivation, plays a crucial role in shaping the Agricultural Product Derivatives market. The country's dependence on agriculture for sustenance and income makes derivative products linked to agricultural commodities particularly relevant. Additionally, the nomadic herding culture in Mongolia adds a layer of complexity to the market dynamics, influencing trading patterns and demand for specific derivatives.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in Mongolia is also influenced by broader macroeconomic factors such as fluctuations in global commodity prices, domestic agricultural policies, and foreign investment trends. As the country continues to modernize its financial markets and improve regulatory frameworks, the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is expected to expand further, offering investors more sophisticated instruments to manage risk and enhance portfolio performance.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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