Real Estate - Mongolia

  • Mongolia
  • The Real Estate market market in Mongolia is expected to see a significant growth in the coming years.
  • By 2024, the market value is projected to reach US$42.99bn.
  • Among the various segments, Residential Real Estate dominates the market with a projected market volume of US$31.42bn in 2024.
  • This indicates a strong demand for residential properties in the country.
  • Looking ahead, the Real Estate market market is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory.
  • The market value is expected to showcase an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 6.32%.
  • By 2029, the market volume is estimated to reach US$58.41bn.
  • This forecast suggests a positive outlook for the Real Estate market sector in Mongolia, reflecting the increasing demand for properties in the country.
  • In terms of global comparison, United States is projected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market market.
  • By 2024, United States's Real Estate market market is expected to reach a staggering US$132.0tn.
  • This highlights the significant role that United States plays in the global Real Estate market landscape.
  • Overall, the Real Estate market market in Mongolia is poised for growth, with residential properties driving the sector forward.
  • The country is witnessing a promising future in the Real Estate market industry, aligning with the global trends in this market segment.
  • Mongolia's real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand due to increased foreign investment and government initiatives.

Key regions: United States, China, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Real Estate market in Mongolia has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Mongolia are increasingly looking for properties that offer modern amenities and conveniences. There is a growing demand for apartments and houses with high-quality construction, modern designs, and access to facilities such as gyms, swimming pools, and parking spaces. Additionally, there is a preference for properties located in prime locations, close to commercial areas, schools, and transportation hubs.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Mongolian Real Estate market is the increasing urbanization and migration from rural areas to cities. As more people move to urban centers in search of better job opportunities and improved living standards, the demand for housing has significantly increased. This has led to a boom in construction activities, with new residential and commercial projects being developed in major cities such as Ulaanbaatar. Another trend in the market is the growing interest from foreign investors. Mongolia has attracted significant foreign investment in recent years, particularly in the mining and energy sectors. This has resulted in an influx of expatriates and foreign workers, leading to a rise in demand for high-quality housing options. Foreign investors are also attracted to the relatively low property prices in Mongolia compared to other countries in the region.

Local special circumstances:
Mongolia's unique geographical location and natural resources play a significant role in the Real Estate market. The country is rich in mineral deposits, including coal, copper, and gold, which has contributed to its economic growth. The mining industry has created employment opportunities and increased the purchasing power of the population, thereby driving the demand for real estate. Furthermore, Mongolia's harsh climate and nomadic culture have shaped the housing preferences of the local population. Traditional Mongolian dwellings, known as gers or yurts, are still prevalent in rural areas. However, in urban areas, there is a shift towards more modern housing options that can withstand the extreme weather conditions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Real Estate market in Mongolia is influenced by various macroeconomic factors. The country's economic growth, driven by the mining sector, has resulted in increased disposable income and improved living standards. This has contributed to the rising demand for housing. Government policies and regulations also play a crucial role in shaping the Real Estate market. The Mongolian government has implemented measures to attract foreign investment and promote economic development. These policies have created a favorable environment for real estate investment, stimulating the construction sector and driving market growth. In conclusion, the Real Estate market in Mongolia is experiencing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for modern properties, urbanization trends, foreign investment, unique local circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The market is expected to continue to expand as the country's economy grows and more opportunities arise for real estate investment.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of residential and commercial real estate, average real estate value, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data from international organizations and industry associations. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Value
  • Value Split
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Transaction Value
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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