Traditional Retail Banking - Mozambique

  • Mozambique
  • In Mozambique, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant growth in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$0.74bn in 2024.
  • This indicates a positive outlook for the banking sector in the country.
  • Looking ahead, the Net Interest Income is expected to exhibit a compound annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.78%, resulting in a substantial market volume of US$0.98bn by 2029.
  • This growth signifies the potential for increased profitability and market expansion in Mozambique's banking industry.
  • It is worth noting that in a global perspective, China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income.
  • In 2024, China is projected to reach an impressive amount of US$2,426.0bn.
  • This highlights the dominance of the US market in terms of Net Interest Income generation.
  • However, it is important to emphasize that despite the comparatively lower numbers in Mozambique, the positive growth trajectory indicates the potential for the Traditional Retail Banking market market to play a significant role in the country's economic development.
  • With continued efforts to strengthen the banking sector and create an enabling environment for financial services, in Mozambique has the opportunity to further capitalize on the growth prospects in the coming years.
  • Mozambique's traditional retail banking market is experiencing a shift towards digital banking services, as more customers embrace the convenience and accessibility of online and mobile banking.

Key regions: France, Brazil, Germany, United Kingdom, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Retail Banking market in Mozambique is experiencing significant growth and evolution in response to changing customer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Mozambique are increasingly seeking convenience and accessibility in their banking services. This has led to a rise in demand for digital banking solutions such as mobile banking and online banking. Additionally, customers are placing a higher value on personalized services and financial education, driving traditional banks to innovate and enhance their customer experience.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends shaping the Traditional Retail Banking market in Mozambique is the expansion of branch networks in both urban and rural areas. Traditional banks are focusing on increasing their physical presence to reach unbanked populations and provide them with basic banking services. Another notable trend is the introduction of innovative products and services, such as microfinance offerings tailored to small businesses and agricultural loans to support the country's agriculture sector.

Local special circumstances:
Mozambique's Traditional Retail Banking market is also influenced by unique local circumstances, such as the country's high levels of informal economy and cash-based transactions. Traditional banks are working to address these challenges by promoting digital payment solutions and financial inclusion initiatives. Moreover, the impact of external factors like political stability and regulatory environment plays a crucial role in shaping the market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Traditional Retail Banking market in Mozambique is closely linked to macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and foreign direct investment. As the economy continues to stabilize and diversify, traditional banks are presented with opportunities to expand their services and customer base. Additionally, government initiatives to promote financial literacy and inclusion are driving the market towards a more sustainable and inclusive future.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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