Private Equity - Mozambique

  • Mozambique
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$3.88m in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 11.34% resulting in a projected total amount of US$4.32m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$2.26m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 2.21 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Mozambique is facing a minimal decline, influenced by factors such as political instability, limited access to financing, and a lack of robust regulatory frameworks, which hinder investor confidence and growth opportunities.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Mozambique's Private Equity market are increasingly prioritizing sustainable and socially responsible investments, reflecting a growing consumer demand for ethical business practices. There is a notable shift towards supporting local enterprises that address social issues, such as job creation and poverty alleviation. Moreover, demographic changes, including a youthful population seeking entrepreneurship opportunities, are driving interest in sectors like technology and renewable energy. As lifestyle factors evolve, investors are recognizing the potential of innovative solutions that align with these emerging consumer preferences.

Trends in the market:
In Mozambique, the Private Equity market is increasingly aligning with sustainable investment practices, as investors seek opportunities that support local businesses focused on social impact, particularly in job creation and poverty alleviation. The trend is gaining momentum with a youthful population eager to engage in entrepreneurship, particularly in sectors like technology and renewable energy. This shift towards ethical investments is significant, as it not only addresses pressing social issues but also offers long-term growth potential for stakeholders, promoting a more sustainable economic landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Mozambique, the Private Equity market is shaped by a unique blend of geographical, cultural, and regulatory factors that distinguish it from other regions. The country's rich natural resources and strategic location along the Indian Ocean create opportunities for investments in sectors like agriculture and tourism. Culturally, a strong sense of community drives local entrepreneurs to prioritize social impact, enhancing investor interest in businesses focused on sustainability. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at improving the investment climate encourage foreign direct investment, appealing to equity firms seeking growth in emerging markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Mozambique is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors such as central bank policy, particularly interest rates, as well as global economic trends. Low interest rates often enhance access to capital, enabling private equity firms to secure financing for investments in high-potential sectors like agriculture and tourism. Conversely, rising interest rates may deter investment by increasing the cost of borrowing, thereby impacting deal flow. Additionally, global economic conditions, such as commodity price fluctuations and trade dynamics, affect Mozambique’s economic health, shaping investor sentiment and altering the risk-return profile of private equity investments in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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