Traditional Commercial Banking - Northern Africa

  • Northern Africa
  • In Northern Africa, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant growth in its Net Interest Income, with projections indicating a substantial rise to reach US$30.04bn in 2024.
  • Moreover, it is expected that the Net Interest Income will continue to exhibit a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 6.80%, thereby resulting in a market volume of US$41.75bn by 2029.
  • When compared to other countries worldwide, China is poised to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with an estimated value of US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • In Northern Africa, traditional commercial banking is experiencing a shift towards digitalization, with banks investing in technology to enhance customer experience and streamline operations.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

In Northern Africa, the Traditional Commercial Banking market is experiencing notable developments and trends driven by various factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Northern Africa are increasingly seeking convenient and accessible banking services. They are showing a growing preference for digital banking solutions, such as online banking platforms and mobile applications, which offer flexibility and ease of use. Additionally, there is a rising demand for personalized services and tailored financial products to meet the diverse needs of customers in the region.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Egypt, Morocco, and Algeria, the Traditional Commercial Banking market is witnessing a shift towards sustainable and socially responsible banking practices. Banks are incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria into their operations and investment decisions to align with global sustainability goals. Moreover, there is a noticeable trend towards financial inclusion, with banks expanding their reach to underserved populations through innovative banking solutions.

Local special circumstances:
Northern Africa is characterized by a young and tech-savvy population, which is driving the adoption of digital banking services in the region. This demographic trend is shaping the way banks design their products and services to cater to the preferences of the younger generation. Additionally, the regulatory environment in Northern Africa plays a significant role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market, with regulators focusing on enhancing transparency, stability, and consumer protection.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The economic landscape of Northern Africa is influenced by factors such as economic growth, inflation rates, and political stability. Fluctuations in commodity prices, currency exchange rates, and regional conflicts can impact the stability of the banking sector in the region. Banks in Northern Africa are closely monitoring these macroeconomic factors to mitigate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the Traditional Commercial Banking market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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