Insurances - Northern Africa

  • Northern Africa
  • The Insurances market in Northern Africa is expected to reach a projected market size (gross written premium) of US$18.43bn in 2024.
  • Among the various segments, Non-Life Insurances dominate the market with a projected market volume of US$9.36bn in the same year.
  • On average, individuals in Northern Africa are expected to spend US$70.66 per capita on insurance in 2024.
  • Comparing globally, the United States is projected to have the highest nominal value in the Insurances market, reaching US$4,642.0bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, the gross written premium is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 4.59%.
  • This growth trend is projected to result in a market volume of US$22.05bn by 2028.
  • Once again, the United States is expected to generate the highest gross written premium in the global comparison, reaching US$4,642.0bn in 2024.
  • In Northern Africa, the insurance market is experiencing a surge in demand for health insurance due to a growing awareness of the importance of healthcare and an aging population.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Insurances market in Northern Africa is experiencing notable growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Northern Africa are increasingly seeking insurance products that provide comprehensive coverage at affordable prices. There is a growing demand for health insurance, as individuals prioritize their well-being and seek financial protection against medical expenses. Additionally, there is a trend towards insurance products that offer protection for assets such as cars and homes, reflecting a desire for security and stability.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Egypt and Morocco, the insurance market is witnessing a rise in digital insurance services, with more customers opting to purchase policies online. This shift is driven by the convenience and accessibility of digital platforms, making it easier for individuals to compare different insurance products and select the ones that best suit their needs. Moreover, there is a noticeable increase in the uptake of Sharia-compliant insurance products in countries with predominantly Muslim populations, such as Libya and Algeria.

Local special circumstances:
Political stability and regulatory reforms play a crucial role in shaping the insurance market in Northern Africa. Countries that have implemented regulatory changes to enhance transparency and consumer protection are seeing a boost in insurance penetration. For instance, Tunisia has introduced new regulations to strengthen the insurance sector, leading to increased investor confidence and market growth. Additionally, the presence of a young and growing population in countries like Sudan and Mauritania presents opportunities for insurers to tap into a large market of potential customers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Economic growth and stability are key drivers of the insurance market in Northern Africa. As countries in the region experience economic development and rising incomes, there is a greater willingness among individuals to invest in insurance products as a means of safeguarding their financial future. Furthermore, the increasing awareness of the importance of insurance in mitigating risks and uncertainties is contributing to the overall expansion of the market across the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on gross written premium, gross written premium per capita, gross claim payments, loss ratio, and distribution channels.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market layer. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use industry associations, national statistic offices, and international organizations, such as OECD. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as insurance consumer spending, gross domestic product, insurance - consumer price index (CPI), population growth. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing and HOLT-linear. The main drivers are insurance consumer spending and insurance - consumer price index (CPI).

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Gross Written Premium
  • Gross Claim Payments
  • Loss Ratio
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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